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SpaceWeather.com -- News and information about meteor showers, solar flares, auroras, and near-Earth asteroids
 
Solar wind
speed: 633.9 km/sec
density: 1.17 protons/cm3
more data: ACE, DSCOVR
Updated: Today at 1147 UT
X-ray Solar Flares
6-hr max: M1
1959 UT Jun16
24-hr: M1
1038 UT Jun16
explanation | more data
Updated: Today at: 2350 UT
Daily Sun: 16 Jun 23
Expand: labels | no labels | Carrington
Sunspot complex AR3335-36 poses a threat for M-class solar flares. Credit: SDO/HMI

Sunspot number: 112
What is the sunspot number?
Updated 16 Jun 2023

Spotless Days
Current Stretch: 0 days
2023 total: 0 days (0%)
2022 total: 1 day (<1%)
2021 total: 64 days (18%)
2020 total: 208 days (57%)
2019 total: 281 days (77%)
2018 total: 221 days (61%)
2017 total: 104 days (28%)
2016 total: 32 days (9%)
2015 total: 0 days (0%)
2014 total: 1 day (<1%)
2013 total: 0 days (0%)
2012 total: 0 days (0%)
2011 total: 2 days (<1%)
2010 total: 51 days (14%)
2009 total: 260 days (71%)
2008 total: 268 days (73%)
2007 total: 152 days (42%)
2006 total: 70 days (19%)

Updated 16 Jun 2023


Thermosphere Climate Index
today: 20.44x1010 W Warm
Max: 49.4
x1010 W Hot (10/1957)
Min: 2.05
x1010 W Cold (02/2009)
explanation | more data: gfx, txt
Updated 16 Jun 2023

The Radio Sun
10.7 cm flux: 153 sfu
explanation | more data
Updated 16 Jun 2023

Cosmic Rays Solar Cycle 25 is intensifying, and this is reflected in the number of cosmic rays entering Earth's atmosphere. Neutron counts from the University of Oulu's Sodankyla Geophysical Observatory show that cosmic rays reaching Earth are slowly declining--a result of the yin-yang relationship between the solar cycle and cosmic rays.

Oulu Neutron Counts

Percentages of the Space Age average:
today: -0.9% Below Average
48-hr change: +0.1%
Max: +11.7% Very High
(12/2009)
Min: -32.1% Very Low (06/1991)
explanation | more data
Updated 16 Jun 2023 @ 1700 UT

Current Auroral Oval:
Switch to: Europe, USA, New Zealand, Antarctica
Credit: NOAA/Ovation
Planetary K-index
Now: Kp= 3.33 quiet
24-hr max: Kp= 6.33
storm
explanation | more data
Interplanetary Mag. Field
Btotal: 5.68 nT
Bz: 0.31 nT north
more data: ACE, DSCOVR
Updated: Today at 1147 UT
Coronal Holes: 16 Jun 23

Earth is inside a stream of solar wind flowing from the indicated coronal hole.
Credit: SDO/AIA

Noctilucent Clouds
The northern season for NLCs began on May 26th. The first clouds were detected inside the Arctic Circle by the NOAA 21 satellite. An instrument onboard NOAA 21 (OMPS LP) is able to detect NLCs (also known as "polar mesospheric clouds" or PMCs). For the rest of the season, daily maps from NOAA 21 will be presented here:


Updated: June 16, 2023

Each dot is a detected cloud. As the season progresses, these dots will multiply in number and shift in hue from blue to red as the brightness of the clouds intensifies.

What happened to NASA's AIM spacecraft, which has been monitoring NLCs since 2007? Earlier this year, the spacecraft's battery failed. As a result AIM is offline, perhaps permanently. There may be some hope of a recovery as AIM's orbit precesses into full sunlight in 2024. Until then, we will maintain AIM's iconic "daily daisy," frozen at Feb. 28, 2023, as a show of thanks for years of service and hope for future daisies:
Switch view:Ross Ice Shelf, Antarctic Peninsula, East Antarctica, Polar
Updated Jun16
SPACE WEATHER
NOAA Forecasts
Updated at: 2023 Jun 16 2200 UTC
FLARE
0-24 hr
24-48 hr
CLASS M
30 %
30 %
CLASS X
05 %
05 %
Geomagnetic Storms:
Probabilities for significant disturbances in Earth's magnetic field are given for three activity levels: active, minor storm, severe storm
Updated at: 2023 Jun 16 2200 UTC
Mid-latitudes
0-24 hr
24-48 hr
ACTIVE
25 %
10 %
MINOR
10 %
01 %
SEVERE
01 %
01 %
High latitudes
0-24 hr
24-48 hr
ACTIVE
15 %
15 %
MINOR
20 %
15 %
SEVERE
25 %
10 %
 
Friday, Jun. 16, 2023
What's up in space
       
 

Text created by ChatGPT and other Large Language Models is spreading rapidly across the Internet. It's well-written, artificial, frequently inaccurate. If you find a mistake on Spaceweather.com, rest assured it was made by a real human being. This is an AI Free Zone!

 

CIR SPARKS G2-CLASS GEOMAGNETIC STORM: Last night, Earth lit up like a Christmas tree with auroras at both poles. The reason: A co-rotating interaction region (CIR) hit our planet's magnetic field. "The display in New Zealand was one for the ages," reports Ian Griffin from Hoopers Inlet on the Otago Peninsula:

"The aurora kept pulsing and, just as you thought it was going to end it exploded into life again," he says. "What a night!"

Many sky watchers have never heard of "CIRs". They form in the interstices between solar wind streams, especially where fast streams blow through slower-moving streams. Solar wind plasma piles up in these regions, producing shock-like structures that mimic CMEs.

NOAA correctly predicted the arrival of a CIR on June 15th. Its impact opened a crack in our planet's magnetic field and sparked a G2-class geomagnetic storm that persisted through June 16th.

Because of the northern summer sun, Arctic observers couldn't see the show. Some auroras, however, did spill into the darkness at lower latitudes. Jeff Berkes sends this photo from Cape Cod, Massachusetts:

"The lights were faint at first, then really juiced up around midnight," says Berkes. "I could see these pillars with the naked eye from Highland Lighthouse."

Did you miss the storm? Subscribers to our Space Weather Alert Service received an instant text message when the CIR arrived. It announced itself by the crack it formed in Earth's magnetic field. PRO PLAN subscribers were thus able to prepare for the subsequent geomagnetic storm.

more images: from Philip Granrud of Whitefish, Montana; from Kalyky of Custer County, Montana; from Didier Walliang of Quesnoy-le-Montant, France; from Jamie McBean of Herne Bay, Kent, UK; from Ian Carstairs of Harleston, Norfolk, UK;

Realtime Aurora Photo Gallery
Free:
Spaceweather.com Newsletter

"I LOVE YOU FOREVER" MOONSTONE PENDANT: Are you looking for a far-out gift? Consider the "I Love You Forever" Moonstone. This one hitched a ride to the stratosphere onboard a cosmic ray research ballooin on May 13th:

You can have it for $162.95. The moonstone's sterling silver infinity wrap is inscribed with the words "I love you forever." It makes a great anniversary or birthday gift. The moonstone comes with a greeting card showing the pendant in flight, telling the story of its trip to the edge of space and back again.

Far Out Gifts: Earth to Sky Store
All sales support hands-on STEM education

ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE CAN CREATE CLOUDS: This is a story about AI. It didn't start that way, though. On May 28th, an unusual weather system blanketed the UK. Cirrostratus clouds containing a rare mixture of gem-like ice crystals filled the sky. Sunlight shining through the crystals produced a stunning variety of ice halos widely seen and reported on BBC news.

During the display, R. J. Cobain of Conlig, Northern Ireland, spun around on his lawn taking as many pictures as he could. "By combining 11 photos I was able to capture a full parhelic circle," says Cobain.

Circling the zenith in a majestic arc, full parhelic circles are among the rarest of ice halos. They require as many as five internal reflections from millions of individual ice crytals, all catching sunbeams simultaneously. "This was by far the best display of atmospheric optics I have ever seen," Cobain says.

There was only one problem with Cobain's excellent photo. He forgot to photograph the zenith. The black gap bothered him.

"I decided to use OpenAI's DALL-E tool to fill in the gap in the panorama," says Cobain. "The prompt was just 'wispy cirrostratus clouds against a dark blue sky'." Here is the result:

"Scary how it convincingly continued with the slightly darker sky behind the 46 degree halo (a detail you wouldn't expect the AI to know)," he says.

DALL-E is the visual version of ChatGPT. It creates images from text. "It is an extension of the GPT-3 language model, designed specifically for the task of image synthesis," according to OpenAI. "DALL-E combines techniques from computer vision and natural language processing to create unique and novel images."

Cobain was not trying to decieve anyone by letting AI fill in the gap. He just wanted to see if it could do a good job. Scary good is more like it.

Realtime Space Weather Photo Gallery
Free:
Spaceweather.com Newsletter


Realtime Aurora Photo Gallery
Free:
Spaceweather.com Newsletter

  All Sky Fireball Network
Every night, a network of NASA all-sky cameras scans the skies above the United States for meteoritic fireballs. Automated software maintained by NASA's Meteoroid Environment Office calculates their orbits, velocity, penetration depth in Earth's atmosphere and many other characteristics. Daily results are presented here on Spaceweather.com.

On Jun 16, 2023, the network reported 25 fireballs.
(25 sporadics)

In this diagram of the inner solar system, all of the fireball orbits intersect at a single point--Earth. The orbits are color-coded by velocity, from slow (red) to fast (blue). [Larger image] [movies]

  Near Earth Asteroids
Potentially Hazardous Asteroids (PHAs) are space rocks larger than approximately 100m that can come closer to Earth than 0.05 AU. None of the known PHAs is on a collision course with our planet, although astronomers are finding new ones all the time.
On June 16, 2023 there were 2335 potentially hazardous asteroids.
Recent & Upcoming Earth-asteroid encounters:
Asteroid
Date(UT)
Miss Distance
Velocity (km/s)
Diameter (m)
2023 LA
2023-Jun-12
1.7 LD
10.4
31
488453
2023-Jun-12
8.3 LD
21.5
495
2023 LQ
2023-Jun-12
4.1 LD
10.4
23
2023 LP1
2023-Jun-13
0.7 LD
13.4
4
2023 LJ1
2023-Jun-13
8.8 LD
12.2
25
2022 WN4
2023-Jun-13
10.8 LD
15.1
158
2023 LO
2023-Jun-13
4.6 LD
5
11
2023 LZ
2023-Jun-14
0.8 LD
13.6
18
2020 DB5
2023-Jun-15
11.3 LD
9.5
506
2023 LL1
2023-Jun-15
1.5 LD
10.7
8
2023 LM1
2023-Jun-15
0.3 LD
9.2
7
2023 LQ1
2023-Jun-16
2.7 LD
8.4
13
2023 HL
2023-Jun-17
13.5 LD
1
15
2023 LV1
2023-Jun-17
14.7 LD
16.5
189
2023 LV
2023-Jun-18
11.9 LD
8
34
2023 LW
2023-Jun-18
6.1 LD
16.6
33
2016 LK49
2023-Jun-19
17.4 LD
19.4
22
2023 LT1
2023-Jun-20
1.8 LD
10.3
16
2023 HF1
2023-Jun-21
12.5 LD
4.4
59
467336
2023-Jun-24
17.4 LD
7.1
269
2008 LG2
2023-Jun-24
10.5 LD
5.6
32
2013 WV44
2023-Jun-28
9.1 LD
11.8
95
2022 MM1
2023-Jun-29
9.8 LD
9.7
41
2020 NC
2023-Jul-02
13.9 LD
7.7
123
2023 HO6
2023-Jul-05
5.3 LD
7.8
233
2019 LH5
2023-Jul-07
14.9 LD
21.6
281
2018 NW
2023-Jul-10
18 LD
21.8
10
2023 LN1
2023-Jul-10
17.9 LD
5.8
63
2018 UY
2023-Jul-12
7.4 LD
16.4
243
2020 UQ3
2023-Jul-18
3.2 LD
9.3
59
2022 GX2
2023-Jul-20
11.9 LD
9.4
5
2020 OM
2023-Jul-20
8.5 LD
9.5
14
2015 MA54
2023-Jul-24
16.6 LD
9.2
31
2018 BG5
2023-Jul-27
10.7 LD
8.4
56
2020 PP1
2023-Jul-29
17 LD
4.1
17
2021 BD3
2023-Jul-30
14 LD
8.5
25
2016 AW65
2023-Jul-31
16.6 LD
5.7
54
2020 PN1
2023-Aug-03
10.8 LD
4.8
29
620082
2023-Aug-04
14 LD
20.6
375
2004 KG1
2023-Aug-06
18.7 LD
9.2
54
2022 BS2
2023-Aug-11
17.3 LD
8.2
30
Notes: LD means "Lunar Distance." 1 LD = 384,401 km, the distance between Earth and the Moon. 1 LD also equals 0.00256 AU.
  Cosmic Rays in the Atmosphere

SPACE WEATHER BALLOON DATA: Almost once a week, Spaceweather.com and the students of Earth to Sky Calculus fly space weather balloons to the stratosphere over California. These balloons are equipped with sensors that detect secondary cosmic rays, a form of radiation from space that can penetrate all the way down to Earth's surface. Our monitoring program has been underway without interruption for 7 years, resulting in a unique dataset of in situ atmospheric measurements.

Latest results (July 2022): Atmospheric radiation is decreasing in 2022. Our latest measurements in July 2022 registered a 6-year low:

What's going on? Ironically, the radiation drop is caused by increasing solar activity. Solar Cycle 25 has roared to life faster than forecasters expected. The sun's strengthening and increasingly tangled magnetic field repels cosmic rays from deep space. In addition, solar coronal mass ejections (CMEs) sweep aside cosmic rays, causing sharp reductions called "Forbush Decreases." The two effects blend together to bring daily radiation levels down.

.Who cares? Cosmic rays are a surprisingly "down to Earth" form of space weather. They can alter the chemistry of the atmosphere, trigger lightning, and penetrate commercial airplanes. According to a study from the Harvard T.H. Chan school of public health, crews of aircraft have higher rates of cancer than the general population. The researchers listed cosmic rays, irregular sleep habits, and chemical contaminants as leading risk factors. A number of controversial studies (#1, #2, #3, #4) go even further, linking cosmic rays with cardiac arrhythmias and sudden cardiac death.

Technical notes: The radiation sensors onboard our helium balloons detect X-rays and gamma-rays in the energy range 10 keV to 20 MeV. These energies span the range of medical X-ray machines and airport security scanners.

Data points in the graph labeled "Stratospheric Radiation" correspond to the peak of the Regener-Pfotzer maximum, which lies about 67,000 feet above central California. When cosmic rays crash into Earth's atmosphere, they produce a spray of secondary particles that is most intense at the entrance to the stratosphere. Physicists Eric Regener and Georg Pfotzer discovered the maximum using balloons in the 1930s and it is what we are measuring today.

  Essential web links
NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center
  The official U.S. government space weather bureau
Atmospheric Optics
  The first place to look for information about sundogs, pillars, rainbows and related phenomena.
Solar Dynamics Observatory
  Researchers call it a "Hubble for the sun." SDO is the most advanced solar observatory ever.
STEREO
  3D views of the sun from NASA's Solar and Terrestrial Relations Observatory
Solar and Heliospheric Observatory
  Realtime and archival images of the Sun from SOHO.
SolarMonitor.org
  information about sunspots based on the latest NOAA/USAF Active Region Summary
Starlink Satellite Statistics
  current counts of failed and deployed Starlink satellites from Jonathan's Space Page
The Aerospace Corporation
  Authoritative predictions of space junk and satellite re-entries
Daily Sunspot Summaries
  from the NOAA Space Environment Center
NOAA 27-Day Space Weather Forecasts
  fun to read, but should be taken with a grain of salt! Forecasts looking ahead more than a few days are often wrong.
Aurora 30 min forecast
  from the NOAA Space Environment Center
Live Aurora Webcam
  from Lights over Lapland
Heliophysics
  the underlying science of space weather

To get the best views of the cosmos, check out the Phoenix Window Glass Replacement experts for all your window and glass needs

To get an up close view of the heavenly bodies surrounding Earth, think about selling your junk car for cash and buying a high quality telescope.
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NASA Near Earth Asteroid Home Page

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