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SpaceWeather.com -- News and information about meteor showers, solar flares, auroras, and near-Earth asteroids
 
Solar wind
speed: 390.8 km/sec
density: 0.30 protons/cm3
more data: ACE, DSCOVR
Updated: Today at 1147 UT
X-ray Solar Flares
6-hr max: C8
2001 UT Jul15
24-hr: M2
0741 UT Jul15
explanation | more data
Updated: Today at: 2350 UT
Daily Sun: 15 Jul 23
Expand: labels | no labels | Carrington
Big sunspots AR3363 and AR3372 pose a continued threat for strong M-class solar flares. Credit: SDO/HMI

Sunspot number: 141
What is the sunspot number?
Updated 15 Jul 2023

Spotless Days
Current Stretch: 0 days
2023 total: 0 days (0%)
2022 total: 1 day (<1%)
2021 total: 64 days (18%)
2020 total: 208 days (57%)
2019 total: 281 days (77%)
2018 total: 221 days (61%)
2017 total: 104 days (28%)
2016 total: 32 days (9%)
2015 total: 0 days (0%)
2014 total: 1 day (<1%)
2013 total: 0 days (0%)
2012 total: 0 days (0%)
2011 total: 2 days (<1%)
2010 total: 51 days (14%)
2009 total: 260 days (71%)
2008 total: 268 days (73%)
2007 total: 152 days (42%)
2006 total: 70 days (19%)

Updated 15 Jul 2023


Thermosphere Climate Index
today: 20.41x1010 W Warm
Max: 49.4
x1010 W Hot (10/1957)
Min: 2.05
x1010 W Cold (02/2009)
explanation | more data: gfx, txt
Updated 15 Jul 2023

The Radio Sun
10.7 cm flux: 181 sfu
explanation | more data
Updated 15 Jul 2023

Cosmic Rays Solar Cycle 25 is intensifying, and this is reflected in the number of cosmic rays entering Earth's atmosphere. Neutron counts from the University of Oulu's Sodankyla Geophysical Observatory show that cosmic rays reaching Earth are slowly declining--a result of the yin-yang relationship between the solar cycle and cosmic rays.

Oulu Neutron Counts

Percentages of the Space Age average:
today: -2.0% Below Average
48-hr change:-1.0%
Max: +11.7% Very High
(12/2009)
Min: -32.1% Very Low (06/1991)
explanation | more data
Updated 15 Jul 2023 @ 1700 UT

Current Auroral Oval:
Switch to: Europe, USA, New Zealand, Antarctica
Credit: NOAA/Ovation
Planetary K-index
Now: Kp= 1.67 quiet
24-hr max: Kp= 2.67
quiet
explanation | more data
Interplanetary Mag. Field
Btotal: 7.09 nT
Bz: 0.59 nT north
more data: ACE, DSCOVR
Updated: Today at 1147 UT
Coronal Holes: 15 Jul 23

There are no significant equatorial coronal holes on the Earthside of the sun.
Credit: SDO/AIA

Noctilucent Clouds
The northern season for NLCs began on May 26th. The first clouds were detected inside the Arctic Circle by the NOAA 21 satellite. An instrument onboard NOAA 21 (OMPS LP) is able to detect NLCs (also known as "polar mesospheric clouds" or PMCs). For the rest of the season, daily maps from NOAA 21 will be presented here:


Updated: Jul 15, 2023

Each dot is a detected cloud. As the season progresses, these dots will multiply in number and shift in hue from blue to red as the brightness of the clouds intensifies.

What happened to NASA's AIM spacecraft, which has been monitoring NLCs since 2007? Earlier this year, the spacecraft's battery failed. As a result AIM is offline, perhaps permanently. There may be some hope of a recovery as AIM's orbit precesses into full sunlight in 2024. Until then, we will maintain AIM's iconic "daily daisy," frozen at Feb. 28, 2023, as a show of thanks for years of service and hope for future daisies:
Switch view:Ross Ice Shelf, Antarctic Peninsula, East Antarctica, Polar
Updated Jul15
SPACE WEATHER
NOAA Forecasts
Updated at: 2023 Jul 15 2200 UTC
FLARE
0-24 hr
24-48 hr
CLASS M
40 %
40 %
CLASS X
10 %
10 %
Geomagnetic Storms:
Probabilities for significant disturbances in Earth's magnetic field are given for three activity levels: active, minor storm, severe storm
Updated at: 2023 Jul 15 2200 UTC
Mid-latitudes
0-24 hr
24-48 hr
ACTIVE
20 %
35 %
MINOR
05 %
15 %
SEVERE
01 %
01 %
High latitudes
0-24 hr
24-48 hr
ACTIVE
20 %
20 %
MINOR
20 %
25 %
SEVERE
15 %
30 %
 
Saturday, Jul. 15, 2023
What's up in space
       
 

This is an AI Free Zone! Text created by ChatGPT and other Large Language Models is spreading rapidly across the Internet. It's well-written, artificial, frequently inaccurate. If you find a mistake on Spaceweather.com, rest assured it was made by a real human being.

 

WEAK CME FAILS TO CAUSE A STORM: As predicted, a CME hit Earth on July 14th (1633 UT). The weak impact (data) disturbed Earth's magnetic field for a few hours but failed to spark a full-fledged geomagnetic storm. No bright auroras have been reported. Aurora alerts: SMS Text

A DARK ERUPTION ON THE SUN (UPDATED): One of the most visually dramatic eruptions of Solar Cycle 25 occured yesterday, July 14th, when a spray of dark plasma flew away from the sun's southern hemosphere. NASA's Solar Dynamics Observatory recorded the event:

The explosion started in the magnetic canopy of AR3370, a small and previously unremarkable sunspot. X-ray sensors on Earth-orbiting satellites registered a C8.8-class solar flare at 1844 UT just before the dark ejecta appeared. What made it "dark"? It's not made of dark matter. Instead, plasma hurled away from the sunspot was relatively cool and dense, so it silhouetted the glow of the underlying sun.

At first we thought this explosion certainly must have hurled a CME toward Earth. However, newly arriving images from SOHO coronagraphs do *not* show a significant CME--and perhaps no CME at all. Solar flare alerts: SMS Text

THIS SUNSPOT IS BLOWING BUBBLES: Big sunspot AR3363 has an inky-black core wide enough to swallow Earth. What is going on in there? On July 11th, a Dutch astronomer nicknamed "Neo" decided to take a closer look, and this is what he saw:

"I captured a phenomenon called 'umbral flashes,'" says New. "Rapid bubbling from the depths of the Umbra is shown in this timelapse movie, which I created from 11 minutes of raw video."

The umbra of a sunspot is its dark central core. It is where magnetic fields are so intense, incandescent heat from the underlying sun is bottled up and prevented from reaching the surface. That is why sunspot umbras look dark.

Yet they are not completely dark. Professional astronomers have long known that flashes of light and popping bubbles can be seen in sunspot cores. These events are not fully understood. One theory holds that gas from the sun's atmosphere falls into the umbra. When it reaches the "floor" of the sunspot, the gas rebounds, forming luminous shockwaves that observers describe as "umbral flashes."

Realtime Space Weather Photo Gallery
Free:
Spaceweather.com Newsletter

LASER-ETCHED MOON CUBE: Last week, the students of Earth to Sky Calculus launched a cosmic ray balloon to the stratosphere. This unique laser-etched Moon cube went along for the ride, ascending to an altitude of 101,140 feet:

You can have it for $119.95. The students are selling these cubes as a fund-raiser for their cosmic ray ballooning program. It's an authentic representation of the Moon, with all of the craters, mountains and lava plains accurately portrayed.

The Moon-cube comes with a unique gift card showing the item floating at the top of Earth's atmosphere. The interior of the card tells the story of the flight and confirms that this gift has been to the edge of space and back again.

Far Out Gifts: Earth to Sky Store
All sales support hands-on STEM education


Realtime Aurora Photo Gallery
Free:
Spaceweather.com Newsletter


Realtime Noctilucent Cloud Photo Gallery
Free:
Spaceweather.com Newsletter

  All Sky Fireball Network
Every night, a network of NASA all-sky cameras scans the skies above the United States for meteoritic fireballs. Automated software maintained by NASA's Meteoroid Environment Office calculates their orbits, velocity, penetration depth in Earth's atmosphere and many other characteristics. Daily results are presented here on Spaceweather.com.

On Jul 15, 2023, the network reported 11 fireballs.
(11 sporadics)

In this diagram of the inner solar system, all of the fireball orbits intersect at a single point--Earth. The orbits are color-coded by velocity, from slow (red) to fast (blue). [Larger image] [movies]

  Near Earth Asteroids
Potentially Hazardous Asteroids (PHAs) are space rocks larger than approximately 100m that can come closer to Earth than 0.05 AU. None of the known PHAs is on a collision course with our planet, although astronomers are finding new ones all the time.
On July 15, 2023 there were 2335 potentially hazardous asteroids.
Recent & Upcoming Earth-asteroid encounters:
Asteroid
Date(UT)
Miss Distance
Velocity (km/s)
Diameter (m)
2018 NW
2023-Jul-10
18 LD
21.8
10
2023 LN1
2023-Jul-10
17.9 LD
5.8
62
2023 MD2
2023-Jul-11
5.6 LD
8.4
48
2023 NE
2023-Jul-11
11.3 LD
12
43
2023 MQ1
2023-Jul-11
10.8 LD
6
39
2018 UY
2023-Jul-12
7.4 LD
16.4
243
2023 NU
2023-Jul-12
8.4 LD
15.7
63
2023 NP
2023-Jul-14
13.1 LD
8.2
21
2023 NY
2023-Jul-15
11.6 LD
2.1
14
2023 NW
2023-Jul-16
15.7 LD
17.1
33
2023 MG6
2023-Jul-16
9.5 LD
12.4
290
2020 UQ3
2023-Jul-18
3.2 LD
9.3
59
2023 NE1
2023-Jul-19
12.7 LD
5.7
60
2022 GX2
2023-Jul-20
11.9 LD
9.4
5
2023 NL
2023-Jul-20
19.1 LD
5.5
44
2020 OM
2023-Jul-20
8.5 LD
9.5
14
2023 NM1
2023-Jul-21
13.6 LD
9.1
35
2023 MX5
2023-Jul-21
11.9 LD
11.8
63
2023 MM3
2023-Jul-22
19.1 LD
6.4
43
2015 MA54
2023-Jul-24
16.6 LD
9.2
31
2018 BG5
2023-Jul-27
10.7 LD
8.4
56
2020 PP1
2023-Jul-29
17 LD
4.1
17
2021 BD3
2023-Jul-30
14 LD
8.5
25
2016 AW65
2023-Jul-31
16.6 LD
5.7
54
2020 PN1
2023-Aug-03
10.8 LD
4.8
29
620082
2023-Aug-04
14 LD
20.6
375
2004 KG1
2023-Aug-06
18.7 LD
9.2
54
2022 BS2
2023-Aug-11
17.3 LD
8.2
30
2022 CP1
2023-Aug-17
13.8 LD
9.8
12
2011 QJ21
2023-Aug-19
13 LD
15.1
45
6037
2023-Aug-23
15.9 LD
14.3
563
2012 PZ17
2023-Aug-30
16.8 LD
3.6
16
2017 BY32
2023-Sep-02
16.4 LD
3.5
20
2021 JA5
2023-Sep-06
13.3 LD
10.9
19
2020 GE
2023-Sep-08
14.9 LD
1.4
8
2020 RT2
2023-Sep-12
11 LD
10
8
Notes: LD means "Lunar Distance." 1 LD = 384,401 km, the distance between Earth and the Moon. 1 LD also equals 0.00256 AU.
  Cosmic Rays in the Atmosphere

SPACE WEATHER BALLOON DATA: Almost once a week, Spaceweather.com and the students of Earth to Sky Calculus fly space weather balloons to the stratosphere over California. These balloons are equipped with sensors that detect secondary cosmic rays, a form of radiation from space that can penetrate all the way down to Earth's surface. Our monitoring program has been underway without interruption for 7 years, resulting in a unique dataset of in situ atmospheric measurements.

Latest results (July 2022): Atmospheric radiation is decreasing in 2022. Our latest measurements in July 2022 registered a 6-year low:

What's going on? Ironically, the radiation drop is caused by increasing solar activity. Solar Cycle 25 has roared to life faster than forecasters expected. The sun's strengthening and increasingly tangled magnetic field repels cosmic rays from deep space. In addition, solar coronal mass ejections (CMEs) sweep aside cosmic rays, causing sharp reductions called "Forbush Decreases." The two effects blend together to bring daily radiation levels down.

.Who cares? Cosmic rays are a surprisingly "down to Earth" form of space weather. They can alter the chemistry of the atmosphere, trigger lightning, and penetrate commercial airplanes. According to a study from the Harvard T.H. Chan school of public health, crews of aircraft have higher rates of cancer than the general population. The researchers listed cosmic rays, irregular sleep habits, and chemical contaminants as leading risk factors. A number of controversial studies (#1, #2, #3, #4) go even further, linking cosmic rays with cardiac arrhythmias and sudden cardiac death.

Technical notes: The radiation sensors onboard our helium balloons detect X-rays and gamma-rays in the energy range 10 keV to 20 MeV. These energies span the range of medical X-ray machines and airport security scanners.

Data points in the graph labeled "Stratospheric Radiation" correspond to the peak of the Regener-Pfotzer maximum, which lies about 67,000 feet above central California. When cosmic rays crash into Earth's atmosphere, they produce a spray of secondary particles that is most intense at the entrance to the stratosphere. Physicists Eric Regener and Georg Pfotzer discovered the maximum using balloons in the 1930s and it is what we are measuring today.

  Essential web links
NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center
  The official U.S. government space weather bureau
Atmospheric Optics
  The first place to look for information about sundogs, pillars, rainbows and related phenomena.
Solar Dynamics Observatory
  Researchers call it a "Hubble for the sun." SDO is the most advanced solar observatory ever.
STEREO
  3D views of the sun from NASA's Solar and Terrestrial Relations Observatory
Solar and Heliospheric Observatory
  Realtime and archival images of the Sun from SOHO.
SolarMonitor.org
  information about sunspots based on the latest NOAA/USAF Active Region Summary
Starlink Satellite Statistics
  current counts of failed and deployed Starlink satellites from Jonathan's Space Page
The Aerospace Corporation
  Authoritative predictions of space junk and satellite re-entries
Daily Sunspot Summaries
  from the NOAA Space Environment Center
NOAA 27-Day Space Weather Forecasts
  fun to read, but should be taken with a grain of salt! Forecasts looking ahead more than a few days are often wrong.
Aurora 30 min forecast
  from the NOAA Space Environment Center
Live Aurora Webcam
  from Lights over Lapland
Heliophysics
  the underlying science of space weather

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NASA Near Earth Asteroid Home Page

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