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POSSIBLE EARTH-DIRECTED CME: Yesterday's X1-class solar flare attracted all the attention, but it did not produce a CME. Another explosion did. Five hours before the X-flare, a filament of magnetism erupted from the sun's northern hemisphere and hurled a CME into space: movie. Most of the CME will pass north of Earth, but not all. A glancing blow is likely on Feb. 14th. Arctic sky watchers could get a light show for Valentine's Day. Aurora alerts: SMS Text.
SOLAR FLARE AND RADIO BLACKOUT (UPDATED): Yesterday, Feb. 11th @ 1548 UTC, Earth-orbiting satellites detected an X1-class solar flare from sunspot AR3217. Extreme UV radiation ionized the top of Earth's atmosphere, causing a strong shortwave radio blackout over South America:


Ham radio operators, aviators, and mariners may have noticed unusual propagation effects at frequencies below 30 MHz for as much as an hour after the flare. This was an impulsive flare, intense and fast. It did not last long enough to lift a CME out of the sun's atmosphere. Solar flare alerts: SMS Text.
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GREEN COMET, RED PLANET: Comet ZTF (C/2022 E3) is having a close encounter with Mars. Alan Dyer of Gleichen, Alberta, photographed them together in the constellation Taurus on Feb. 10th:

"The passage of Comet C/0222 E3 (ZTF) less than 1 degree from Mars made for a photogenic grouping," says Dyer. "I shot it with several focal lengths framing the entire constellation of Taurus, then zooming in to frame the main star clusters in Taurus, then zooming in even more to frame just the comet and Mars, with Mars at the end of a long filament of dark interstellar dust."
The two celestial bodies are a study in contrast. Mars is red (due to rust in the planet's regolith). Comet ZTF is green (due to diatomic carbon in its atmosphere). Mars is 100 times brighter and easy to see with the unaided eye. Comet ZTF is nearly invisible.
Astrophotographers, point your optics at Mars and take a long exposure. The comet will appear nearby. Got an image? Submit it here.
more images: from Ian Griffin of Portobello, New Zealand; from Gregg Ruppel of Oro Valley, AZ; from Khosro Jafarizadeh of Karaj, Alborz, Iran; from Michael Karrer of Austria; from Nick Lamendola of Lima, NY
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18K GOLD CUPID'S COMPASS: Are you looking for a romantic gift? Consider Cupid's Compass. This premuim 18K gold-filled pendant flew to the stratosphere on Jan. 6th onboard an Earth to Sky Calculus cosmic ray research balloon:

You can have it for $259.95. Engraved with the words "I'd be lost without you", the hypoallergenic pendant has a 5-star cubic zirconia crystal in the middle surrounded by a ring of equally high-grade 5A cubic zirconia nuggets. It is a visually striking pendant that makes a once-in-a-lifetime Valentine's, anniversary or birthday gift.
The students are selling space pendants to pay the helium bill for their cosmic ray ballooning program. Each one comes with a greeting card showing the jewelry in flight and telling the story of its trip to the stratosphere and back again.
Far Out Gifts: Earth to Sky Store
All sales support hands-on STEM education
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Every night, a network of
NASA all-sky cameras scans the skies above the United States for meteoritic fireballs. Automated software maintained by NASA's Meteoroid Environment Office calculates their orbits, velocity, penetration depth in Earth's atmosphere and many other characteristics. Daily results are presented here on Spaceweather.com.
On Feb 12 2023, the network reported 8 fireballs.
(8 sporadics)
In this diagram of the inner solar system, all of the fireball orbits intersect at a single point--Earth. The orbits are color-coded by velocity, from slow (red) to fast (blue). [Larger image] [movies]
Potentially Hazardous Asteroids (
PHAs) are space rocks larger than approximately 100m that can come closer to Earth than 0.05 AU. None of the known PHAs is on a collision course with our planet, although astronomers are finding
new ones all the time.
On February 12, 2023 there were 2328 potentially hazardous asteroids.
 |
Recent & Upcoming Earth-asteroid encounters: Asteroid | Date(UT) | Miss Distance | Velocity (km/s) | Diameter (m) |
2023 CT | 2023-Feb-07 | 4.2 LD | 13.2 | 17 |
2023 BU7 | 2023-Feb-08 | 1.3 LD | 1.7 | 3 |
2023 BS | 2023-Feb-08 | 19.4 LD | 10.9 | 35 |
2023 CN1 | 2023-Feb-08 | 5.1 LD | 8.7 | 21 |
2023 BO8 | 2023-Feb-08 | 4.2 LD | 6.6 | 16 |
2023 CU | 2023-Feb-08 | 2.2 LD | 4.7 | 13 |
2022 CX1 | 2023-Feb-09 | 17.4 LD | 13.2 | 14 |
2023 CR | 2023-Feb-09 | 2.2 LD | 8.1 | 9 |
2023 CF1 | 2023-Feb-09 | 8.7 LD | 5.8 | 9 |
2023 CA1 | 2023-Feb-09 | 5.7 LD | 12 | 23 |
2023 CB1 | 2023-Feb-10 | 6.9 LD | 7.1 | 15 |
2023 CQ | 2023-Feb-10 | 1.5 LD | 9.2 | 10 |
2023 BC8 | 2023-Feb-11 | 15.5 LD | 14 | 51 |
2023 CY | 2023-Feb-11 | 8 LD | 11 | 19 |
2023 CL1 | 2023-Feb-12 | 2.2 LD | 10.9 | 11 |
2023 CJ1 | 2023-Feb-13 | 12.5 LD | 7.2 | 28 |
2021 EP4 | 2023-Feb-13 | 19 LD | 6.1 | 5 |
2023 CU1 | 2023-Feb-14 | 5.7 LD | 8.6 | 15 |
2023 CP | 2023-Feb-14 | 17.2 LD | 3.4 | 35 |
2023 CT1 | 2023-Feb-15 | 2.2 LD | 16.9 | 18 |
199145 | 2023-Feb-16 | 12 LD | 24.6 | 770 |
2023 CV1 | 2023-Feb-16 | 10.7 LD | 7.3 | 39 |
2022 RG | 2023-Feb-16 | 8.2 LD | 3 | 25 |
2020 DG4 | 2023-Feb-17 | 1.4 LD | 6.9 | 8 |
2023 CC1 | 2023-Feb-18 | 15 LD | 12.2 | 41 |
2023 CH1 | 2023-Feb-18 | 7.6 LD | 7.6 | 16 |
2023 CW | 2023-Feb-18 | 6.7 LD | 7.6 | 26 |
2020 CX1 | 2023-Feb-19 | 17.4 LD | 7.7 | 53 |
37638 | 2023-Feb-21 | 17 LD | 11.1 | 493 |
2023 AA2 | 2023-Feb-22 | 17.4 LD | 10.1 | 133 |
2023 CS1 | 2023-Feb-23 | 15.1 LD | 9.1 | 30 |
2023 CG1 | 2023-Feb-25 | 15.2 LD | 6.5 | 32 |
2012 DK31 | 2023-Feb-27 | 12.6 LD | 15.5 | 143 |
2006 BE55 | 2023-Feb-28 | 9.4 LD | 13.3 | 145 |
2021 QW | 2023-Mar-03 | 13.9 LD | 12.1 | 79 |
2017 BM123 | 2023-Mar-03 | 12.1 LD | 7.8 | 61 |
2007 ED125 | 2023-Mar-03 | 11.7 LD | 13.1 | 224 |
2015 EG | 2023-Mar-04 | 13.9 LD | 10.6 | 27 |
2023 BK5 | 2023-Mar-05 | 17.8 LD | 8.4 | 62 |
535844 | 2023-Mar-07 | 10.5 LD | 7.7 | 149 |
2020 FQ | 2023-Mar-09 | 14 LD | 6.3 | 13 |
2020 FV4 | 2023-Mar-13 | 17.6 LD | 8.2 | 30 |
2023 CM | 2023-Mar-14 | 10.3 LD | 14 | 190 |
2018 UQ1 | 2023-Mar-17 | 10.7 LD | 11.7 | 143 |
2016 WH | 2023-Mar-19 | 18.1 LD | 11.8 | 14 |
2018 FE3 | 2023-Mar-21 | 10.1 LD | 5.4 | 13 |
2022 YK4 | 2023-Mar-29 | 11.9 LD | 2.3 | 25 |
2017 SE12 | 2023-Mar-30 | 5.2 LD | 8.4 | 15 |
2016 GH1 | 2023-Mar-30 | 7.7 LD | 5.8 | 11 |
2022 GO3 | 2023-Apr-02 | 17 LD | 11.6 | 15 |
2021 GN1 | 2023-Apr-02 | 17.7 LD | 14.2 | 18 |
2018 FD | 2023-Apr-07 | 17.9 LD | 8.2 | 47 |
Notes: LD means "Lunar Distance." 1 LD = 384,401 km, the distance between Earth and the Moon. 1 LD also equals 0.00256 AU. | Cosmic Rays in the Atmosphere |
SPACE WEATHER BALLOON DATA: Almost once a week, Spaceweather.com and the students of Earth to Sky Calculus fly space weather balloons to the stratosphere over California. These balloons are equipped with sensors that detect secondary cosmic rays, a form of radiation from space that can penetrate all the way down to Earth's surface. Our monitoring program has been underway without interruption for 7 years, resulting in a unique dataset of in situ atmospheric measurements.
Latest results (July 2022): Atmospheric radiation is decreasing in 2022. Our latest measurements in July 2022 registered a 6-year low:

What's going on? Ironically, the radiation drop is caused by increasing solar activity. Solar Cycle 25 has roared to life faster than forecasters expected. The sun's strengthening and increasingly tangled magnetic field repels cosmic rays from deep space. In addition, solar coronal mass ejections (CMEs) sweep aside cosmic rays, causing sharp reductions called "Forbush Decreases." The two effects blend together to bring daily radiation levels down.
.Who cares? Cosmic rays are a surprisingly "down to Earth" form of space weather. They can alter the chemistry of the atmosphere, trigger lightning, and penetrate commercial airplanes. According to a study from the Harvard T.H. Chan school of public health, crews of aircraft have higher rates of cancer than the general population. The researchers listed cosmic rays, irregular sleep habits, and chemical contaminants as leading risk factors. A number of controversial studies (#1, #2, #3, #4) go even further, linking cosmic rays with cardiac arrhythmias and sudden cardiac death.
Technical notes: The radiation sensors onboard our helium balloons detect X-rays and gamma-rays in the energy range 10 keV to 20 MeV. These energies span the range of medical X-ray machines and airport security scanners.
Data points in the graph labeled "Stratospheric Radiation" correspond to the peak of the Regener-Pfotzer maximum, which lies about 67,000 feet above central California. When cosmic rays crash into Earth's atmosphere, they produce a spray of secondary particles that is most intense at the entrance to the stratosphere. Physicists Eric Regener and Georg Pfotzer discovered the maximum using balloons in the 1930s and it is what we are measuring today.
| The official U.S. government space weather bureau |
| The first place to look for information about sundogs, pillars, rainbows and related phenomena. |
| Researchers call it a "Hubble for the sun." SDO is the most advanced solar observatory ever. |
| 3D views of the sun from NASA's Solar and Terrestrial Relations Observatory |
| Realtime and archival images of the Sun from SOHO. |
| information about sunspots based on the latest NOAA/USAF Active Region Summary |
| current counts of failed and deployed Starlink satellites from Jonathan's Space Page |
| Authoritative predictions of space junk and satellite re-entries |
| from the NOAA Space Environment Center |
| fun to read, but should be taken with a grain of salt! Forecasts looking ahead more than a few days are often wrong. |
| from the NOAA Space Environment Center |
| the underlying science of space weather |
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