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SpaceWeather.com -- News and information about meteor showers, solar flares, auroras, and near-Earth asteroids
 
Solar wind
speed: 469.2 km/sec
density: 6.2 protons/cm3
more data: ACE, DSCOVR
Updated: Today at 2345 UT
X-ray Solar Flares
6-hr max: A5
1913 UT Jul30
24-hr: A7
0039 UT Jul30
explanation | more data
Updated: Today at: 2350 UT
Daily Sun: 30 Jul 21
Expand: labels | no labels
The sun is blank--no sunspots. Credit: SDO/HMI

Sunspot number: 0
What is the sunspot number?
Updated 30 Jul 2021

Spotless Days
Current Stretch: 2 days
2021 total: 48 days (23%)
2020 total: 208 days (57%)
2019 total: 281 days (77%)
2018 total: 221 days (61%)
2017 total: 104 days (28%)
2016 total: 32 days (9%)
2015 total: 0 days (0%)
2014 total: 1 day (<1%)
2013 total: 0 days (0%)
2012 total: 0 days (0%)
2011 total: 2 days (<1%)
2010 total: 51 days (14%)
2009 total: 260 days (71%)
2008 total: 268 days (73%)
2007 total: 152 days (42%)
2006 total: 70 days (19%)

Updated 30 Jul 2021


Thermosphere Climate Index
today: 5.04
x1010 W Cold
Max: 49.4
x1010 W Hot (10/1957)
Min: 2.05
x1010 W Cold (02/2009)
explanation | more data: gfx, txt
Updated 30 Jul 2021

The Radio Sun
10.7 cm flux: 76 sfu
explanation | more data
Updated 30 Jul 2021

Cosmic Rays Solar Cycle 25 is beginning, and this is reflected in the number of cosmic rays entering Earth's atmosphere. Neutron counts from the University of Oulu's Sodankyla Geophysical Observatory show that cosmic rays reaching Earth are slowly declining--a result of the yin-yang relationship between the solar cycle and cosmic rays.

Oulu Neutron Counts

Percentages of the Space Age average:
today: +8.4% High
48-hr change: +0.2%
Max: +11.7% Very High
(12/2009)
Min: -32.1% Very Low (06/1991)
explanation | more data
Updated 30 Jul 2021 @ 1700 UT

Current Auroral Oval:
Switch to: Europe, USA, New Zealand, Antarctica
Credit: NOAA/Ovation
Planetary K-index
Now: Kp= 1 quiet
24-hr max: Kp= 2
quiet
explanation | more data
Interplanetary Mag. Field
Btotal: 5.3 nT
Bz: 3.1 nT north
more data: ACE, DSCOVR
Updated: Today at 2345 UT
Coronal Holes: 30 Jul 21

There are no large coronal holes on the Earthside of the sun.
Credit: SDO/AIA

Noctilucent Clouds Noctilucent cloud season is underway. It began on May 20th with a patch of electric-blue clouds over Ellesmere Island in northern Canada. The clouds have since intensified, with sightings as far south as +37N latitude.
Switch view: Europe, USA, Asia, Polar
Updated at:
SPACE WEATHER
NOAA Forecasts
Updated at: 2021 Jul 30 2200 UTC
FLARE
0-24 hr
24-48 hr
CLASS M
01 %
01 %
CLASS X
01 %
01 %
Geomagnetic Storms:
Probabilities for significant disturbances in Earth's magnetic field are given for three activity levels: active, minor storm, severe storm
Updated at: 2021 Jul 30 2200 UTC
Mid-latitudes
0-24 hr
24-48 hr
ACTIVE
25 %
30 %
MINOR
10 %
10 %
SEVERE
01 %
01 %
High latitudes
0-24 hr
24-48 hr
ACTIVE
15 %
15 %
MINOR
30 %
30 %
SEVERE
40 %
40 %
 
Friday, Jul. 30, 2021
What's up in space
       
 

Never miss another geomagnetic storm. Sign up for Space Weather Alerts and receive a text message when auroras appear. Aurora tour guides and professional astronomers use this service. Now you can, too!

 

THE SUN IS BLANK: For the second day in a row, the sun is blank--no sunspots. Solar Cycle 25 is sputtering as July comes to an end. It won't last long. A new sunspot appears set to rotate over the sun's eastern limb, according to farside images from NASA's STEREO-A spacecraft. Aurora alerts: SMS Text.

NUCLEAR BOMBS CAN CAUSE GEOMAGNETIC STORMS: They called it "Starfish Prime." On July 9, 1962, the US military exploded a thermonuclear warhead 250 miles above the Pacific Ocean. What happened next surprised everyone.

Witnesses from Hawaii to New Zealand reported auroras dancing overhead, magnificent midnight "rainbow stripes" that tropical sky watchers had never seen before. Radios fell silent, then suddenly became noisy. Burglar alarms sounded as local streetlights in Honolulu went black.


Above: 'Nuclear auroras' over Honolulu (L) and a Pacific surveillance aircraft (R) on July 9, 1962.

Starfish Prime essentially created an artificial solar storm complete with auroras, geomagnetic activity, and blackouts. Much of the chaos that night was caused by the electromagnetic pulse (EMP)--a ferocious burst of radiation that can ionize the atmosphere and pepper the ground below with secondary particles akin to cosmic rays. Government and industry researchers have been studying the Starfish Prime EMP for decades.

A new paper just published in the research journal Earth and Space Science suggests they might be overlooking something.

"Typical EMP simulations found in government and industry reports use over-simplified models of the Earth," says lead author Jeffrey Love of the United States Geological Survey (USGS). "They do not provide accurate estimates of the hazard in complex geological settings."

In their paper, Love et al describe how a high-altitude nuclear blast jerks Earth's magnetic field. First, the EMP ionizes a layer of air underneath the bomb. This layer presses downward, pinning Earth's magnetic field lines in their pre-blast locations. Next, as the ionization subsides, the magnetic field springs back. It's a sort of heaving, lurching geomagnetic storm.

Geomagnetic storms are famous for causing power blackouts. Usually the sun is to blame, but EMPs can do it, too. Lurching magnetic fields cause electrical currents to flow through the ground. Literally, rocks beneath your feet begin to tingle with electricity. These currents, in turn, make their way into grounded electric-power grids, potentially damaging transformers and blacking out power supplies.


Above: A geological map of the eastern midcontinental USA. Triangles mark the locations of recent magnetotelluric measurements.

The crucial point of Love's paper: Earth is not the same everywhere. In recent years, researchers have been sounding Earth's crust to determine the 3D electrical properties of our planet. These magnetotelluric surveys reveal huge variations in conductivity from place to place, depending on the mix of underlying rock. Love has been one of the pioneers in applying this type of Earth data to space weather, predicting how global geomagnetic storms might affect local power lines. Now he and his colleagues are doing the same with EMPs.

The team focused their attention on the eastern midcontinental USA, a region bracketed by St. Louis, Missouri, and Memphis, Tennessee. Between 2016 and 2019, the USGS conducted a magnetotelluric survey of the area, so the data are fresh. The terrain is remarkable for its mix of rock types. Underneath it all is a layer of Precambrian basement rock, which is electrically resistive; this is overlain by differing depths of younger, electrically conductive sedimentary rock. Notable features include the Ozark Dome, where the sedimentary layer is thin, and the Reelfoot Rift, which is deeply filled with sedimentary rock.

Love's team simulated a nuclear explosion about 300 km above this region. They found a huge range of geoelectric responses. Some power lines in the simulation had excess voltages near 2000 V, while others were closer to 0 V. Both were sharp departures from previous studies.

The authors note that the Eastern Midcontinent is just a small fraction of the USA. Similar studies need to be done elsewhere. Researchers still have a lot of ground to cover when it comes to nuclear geomagnetic storms.

A sharable link to this story may be found here.

Realtime Space Weather Photo Gallery
Free:
Spaceweather.com Newsletter

THE MIDNIGHT BLACK PEARL: Space is black--and so is this pearl. On July 22, 2021, the students of Earth to Sky Calculus launched the Midnight Pearl to the stratosphere onboard a cosmic ray research balloon. Here it is floating 96,785 feet above the Sierra Nevada mountains of central California:


You can have it for $179.95--earrings included! Matching pearl earrings flew inside the payload among the cosmic ray sensors.

The students are selling space pearls to support their cosmic ray ballooning program. Wrapped in a sterling silver infinity twist, each Midnight Pearl comes with a greeting card showing the pendant in flight and telling the story of its trip to the edge of space.

Far Out Gifts: Earth to Sky Store
All sales support hands-on STEM education


Realtime Noctilucent Cloud Photo Gallery
Free:
Spaceweather.com Newsletter


Realtime Aurora Photo Gallery
Free:
Spaceweather.com Newsletter

  All Sky Fireball Network
Every night, a network of NASA all-sky cameras scans the skies above the United States for meteoritic fireballs. Automated software maintained by NASA's Meteoroid Environment Office calculates their orbits, velocity, penetration depth in Earth's atmosphere and many other characteristics. Daily results are presented here on Spaceweather.com.

On Jul 30 2021, the network reported 28 fireballs.
(17 sporadics, 5 southern delta Aquarids, 4 Perseids, 1 alpha Capricornid, 1 psi Cassiopeid)

In this diagram of the inner solar system, all of the fireball orbits intersect at a single point--Earth. The orbits are color-coded by velocity, from slow (red) to fast (blue). [Larger image] [movies]

  Near Earth Asteroids
Potentially Hazardous Asteroids (PHAs) are space rocks larger than approximately 100m that can come closer to Earth than 0.05 AU. None of the known PHAs is on a collision course with our planet, although astronomers are finding new ones all the time.
On July 30, 2021 there were 2202 potentially hazardous asteroids.
Recent & Upcoming Earth-asteroid encounters:
Asteroid
Date(UT)
Miss Distance
Velocity (km/s)
Diameter (m)
2008 GO20
2021-Jul-25
11.8 LD
8.2
129
2021 OF
2021-Jul-26
11.6 LD
8.8
55
2020 BW12
2021-Jul-27
16.7 LD
9.8
21
2021 OY
2021-Jul-31
10.2 LD
8.4
26
2019 YM6
2021-Jul-31
17.9 LD
13.5
135
2021 OZ
2021-Aug-02
13.9 LD
9
84
2020 PN1
2021-Aug-03
9.6 LD
4.6
30
2021 NL4
2021-Aug-03
12.8 LD
10.1
68
2020 PP1
2021-Aug-03
13 LD
3.6
16
2021 OA1
2021-Aug-05
19.1 LD
6.5
45
2012 BA35
2021-Aug-11
6.9 LD
4.2
64
2016 BQ
2021-Aug-14
4.4 LD
4.7
16
2016 AJ193
2021-Aug-21
8.9 LD
26.2
655
2019 UD4
2021-Aug-22
14.2 LD
5.5
86
2020 BC16
2021-Aug-24
15 LD
6.7
34
2011 UC292
2021-Aug-24
9 LD
8.5
98
2021 NS8
2021-Aug-25
18.4 LD
4.2
34
2017 RK15
2021-Aug-29
13.3 LD
11.6
26
2015 SW6
2021-Sep-05
15.9 LD
9.9
45
2010 RJ53
2021-Sep-09
9.6 LD
19.3
56
2020 KR2
2021-Sep-10
14.2 LD
5.1
17
2017 SL16
2021-Sep-20
12.8 LD
6.1
23
2021 NY1
2021-Sep-22
3.9 LD
9.4
173
2019 SF6
2021-Sep-26
16.4 LD
8.6
20
Notes: LD means "Lunar Distance." 1 LD = 384,401 km, the distance between Earth and the Moon. 1 LD also equals 0.00256 AU. MAG is the visual magnitude of the asteroid on the date of closest approach.
  Cosmic Rays in the Atmosphere

SPACE WEATHER BALLOON DATA: Almost once a week, Spaceweather.com and the students of Earth to Sky Calculus fly space weather balloons to the stratosphere over California. These balloons are equipped with sensors that detect secondary cosmic rays, a form of radiation from space that can penetrate all the way down to Earth's surface. Our monitoring program has been underway without interruption for 6 years, resulting in a unique dataset of in situ atmospheric measurements.

Latest results: Our most recent flight on June 25, 2021, confirms a trend of decreasing cosmic radiation:

Cosmic ray dose rates peaked in late 2019, and have been slowly declining ever since. This makes perfect sense. Solar Minimum was in late 2019. During Solar Minimum the sun's magnetic field weakens, allowing more cosmic rays into the solar system. We expect dose rate to be highest at that time.

Now that Solar Minimum has passed, the sun is waking up again. Solar magnetic fields are strengthening, providing a stiffer barrier to cosmic rays trying to enter the solar system. The decline of cosmic radiation above California is a sign that new Solar Cycle 25 is gaining strength.

.Who cares? Cosmic rays are a surprisingly "down to Earth" form of space weather. They can seed clouds, trigger lightning, and penetrate commercial airplanes. According to a study from the Harvard T.H. Chan school of public health, crews of aircraft have higher rates of cancer than the general population. The researchers listed cosmic rays, irregular sleep habits, and chemical contaminants as leading risk factors. Somewhat more controversial studies (#1, #2, #3, #4) llink cosmic rays with cardiac arrhythmias and sudden cardiac death.

En route to the stratosphere, our sensors also pass through aviation altitudes:

In this plot, dose rates are expessed as multiples of sea level. For instance, we see that boarding a plane that flies at 25,000 feet exposes passengers to dose rates ~10x higher than sea level. At 40,000 feet, the multiplier is closer to 50x. The higher you fly, the more radiation you will absorb.

Technical notes:

The radiation sensors onboard our helium balloons detect X-rays and gamma-rays in the energy range 10 keV to 20 MeV. These energies span the range of medical X-ray machines and airport security scanners.

Data points in the first graph ("Stratospheric Radiation") correspond to the peak of the Regener-Pfotzer maximum, which lies about 67,000 feet above central California. When cosmic rays crash into Earth's atmosphere, they produce a spray of secondary particles that is most intense at the entrance to the stratosphere. Physicists Eric Regener and Georg Pfotzer discovered the maximum using balloons in the 1930s and it is what we are measuring today.

  Essential web links
NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center
  The official U.S. government space weather bureau
Atmospheric Optics
  The first place to look for information about sundogs, pillars, rainbows and related phenomena.
Solar Dynamics Observatory
  Researchers call it a "Hubble for the sun." SDO is the most advanced solar observatory ever.
STEREO
  3D views of the sun from NASA's Solar and Terrestrial Relations Observatory
Solar and Heliospheric Observatory
  Realtime and archival images of the Sun from SOHO.
Daily Sunspot Summaries
  from the NOAA Space Environment Center
NOAA 27-Day Space Weather Forecasts
  fun to read, but should be taken with a grain of salt! Forecasts looking ahead more than a few days are often wrong.
Aurora 30 min forecast
  from the NOAA Space Environment Center
Heliophysics
  the underlying science of space weather

To get the best views of the cosmos, check out the Phoenix Window Glass Replacement experts for all your window and glass needs

To get an up close view of the heavenly bodies surrounding Earth, think about selling your junk car for cash and buying a high quality telescope.
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NASA Near Earth Asteroid Home Page

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