| | Switch to: Europe, USA, New Zealand, Antarctica Credit: NOAA/Ovation Planetary K-index Now: Kp= 0.67 quiet 24-hr max: Kp= 1.67 quiet explanation | more data Interplanetary Mag. Field Btotal: 3.09 nT Bz: -2.25 nT south more data: ACE, DSCOVR Updated: Today at 1146 UT Coronal Holes: 03 Nov 23 Solar wind flowing from this coronal hole should reach Earth on Nov. 7th. Credit: SDO/AIA Noctilucent Clouds The northern season for NLCs began on May 26th. The first clouds were detected inside the Arctic Circle by the NOAA 21 satellite. An instrument onboard NOAA 21 (OMPS LP) is able to detect NLCs (also known as "polar mesospheric clouds" or PMCs). For the rest of the season, daily maps from NOAA 21 will be presented here: Updated: Aug. 29, 2023 Each dot is a detected cloud. As the season progresses, these dots will multiply in number and shift in hue from blue to red as the brightness of the clouds intensifies. What happened to NASA's AIM spacecraft, which has been monitoring NLCs since 2007? Earlier this year, the spacecraft's battery failed. As a result AIM is offline, perhaps permanently. There may be some hope of a recovery as AIM's orbit precesses into full sunlight in 2024. Until then, we will maintain AIM's iconic "daily daisy," frozen at Feb. 28, 2023, as a show of thanks for years of service and hope for future daisies: | | | Switch view:Ross Ice Shelf, Antarctic Peninsula, East Antarctica, Polar Updated Nov03 SPACE WEATHER NOAA Forecasts | | Updated at: 2023 Nov 03 2200 UTC FLARE | 0-24 hr | 24-48 hr | CLASS M | 40 % | 40 % | CLASS X | 05 % | 05 % | Geomagnetic Storms: Probabilities for significant disturbances in Earth's magnetic field are given for three activity levels: active, minor storm, severe storm Updated at: 2023 Nov 03 2200 UTC Mid-latitudes | 0-24 hr | 24-48 hr | ACTIVE | 10 % | 20 % | MINOR | 05 % | 05 % | SEVERE | 01 % | 01 % | High latitudes | 0-24 hr | 24-48 hr | ACTIVE | 15 % | 15 % | MINOR | 20 % | 20 % | SEVERE | 20 % | 20 % | | | | | | | | | | | | This is an AI Free Zone! Text created by ChatGPT and other Large Language Models is spreading rapidly across the Internet. It's well-written, artificial, frequently inaccurate. If you find a mistake on Spaceweather.com, rest assured it was made by a real human being. | | | MINOR GEOMAGNETIC STORM WATCH: One and perhaps two CMEs could graze Earth's magnetic field on Nov. 4th. Individually, neither CME is particularly significant, but added together they could spark a minor G1-class geomagnetic storm. This is especially true if one CME sweeps up the other to form a Cannibal CME. Aurora alerts: SMS Text FULL HALO CME: Aurora watchers should get their hopes up. This morning, Nov. 3rd, coronagraphs onboard the Solar and Heliospheric Observatory (SOHO) detected a full halo CME. The storm cloud is heading directly for Earth: The cloud was hurled into space by the eruption of a long magnetic filament in the sun's northern hemisphere: movie. A NASA model of the CME suggests it will arrive between 1200 UT and 1800 UT on Nov. 5th. Two minor CMEs could precede it with glancing blows on Nov. 4th. The sum of these impacts have the potential to produce G2-class or stronger geomagnetic storms. CME alerts: SMS Text Realtime Space Weather Photo Gallery Free: Spaceweather.com Newsletter COMET 12P ERUPTS AGAIN: Comet 12P/Pons-Brooks just did it again. On Halloween, it abruptly brightened almost 100-fold, indicating a new outburst of cryovolcanic activity. Retired biology professor and now-amateur astronomer Eliot Herman has been monitoring the comet and caught the Oct. 31st brightening: "This comet has been widely reported in the news as the 'devil comet' due to two prior outbursts that produced devil-like horns," says Herman. "On Halloween the devil burst forth again with a large outburst that continued into the next day. On November 2 a new bright coma is beginning to appear and in the next days it will be seen if the devil will make a third appearance. All images were captured with Telescope T11 at the Utah Desert Observatory, and are stacks of 9 x 60 seconds." Amateur astronomers with backyard telescopes larger than 12-inches are encouraged to monitor developments. The comet is currently shining like a 12th magnitude star, located in Hercules just across the border from the bright star Vega. [sky map] Realtime Comet Photo Gallery Free: Spaceweather.com Newsletter ALASKAN TIMBER WOLF PENDANT: It's a great gift for wolf lovers. On Sept. 5th, the students of Earth to Sky Calculus launched this Alaskan Timber Wolf Pendant to the stratosphere onboard a cosmic ray research balloon. At the apex of the flight, it floated 103,018 ft high, above 99.7% of Earth's atmosphere. You can have it for $99.95. The students are selling space pendants to support their cosmic ray ballooning program. Each one comes with a greeting card showing the wolf in flight and telling the story of its journey to the edge of space. Far Out Gifts: Earth to Sky Store All sales support hands-on STEM education Realtime Aurora Photo Gallery Free: Spaceweather.com Newsletter Realtime Space Weather Photo Gallery Free: Spaceweather.com Newsletter Every night, a network of NASA all-sky cameras scans the skies above the United States for meteoritic fireballs. Automated software maintained by NASA's Meteoroid Environment Office calculates their orbits, velocity, penetration depth in Earth's atmosphere and many other characteristics. Daily results are presented here on Spaceweather.com. On Nov 02, 2023, the network reported 17 fireballs. (14 sporadics, 1 Northern Taurid, 1 chi Taurid, 1 Orionid) In this diagram of the inner solar system, all of the fireball orbits intersect at a single point--Earth. The orbits are color-coded by velocity, from slow (red) to fast (blue). [Larger image] [movies] Potentially Hazardous Asteroids ( PHAs) are space rocks larger than approximately 100m that can come closer to Earth than 0.05 AU. None of the known PHAs is on a collision course with our planet, although astronomers are finding new ones all the time. On November 3, 2023 there were 2349 potentially hazardous asteroids. | Recent & Upcoming Earth-asteroid encounters: Asteroid | Date(UT) | Miss Distance | Velocity (km/s) | Diameter (m) | 2023 UA2 | 2023-Oct-29 | 12.9 LD | 9.2 | 15 | 525229 | 2023-Oct-30 | 10.6 LD | 17.4 | 200 | 2023 TW6 | 2023-Oct-31 | 19.2 LD | 24.4 | 91 | 2013 UV3 | 2023-Nov-01 | 14.7 LD | 15.4 | 15 | 2023 UZ3 | 2023-Nov-01 | 2.7 LD | 14.4 | 19 | 2023 VA | 2023-Nov-02 | 0.1 LD | 11.3 | 7 | 2016 WY | 2023-Nov-02 | 9.1 LD | 3.9 | 5 | 363505 | 2023-Nov-02 | 13.7 LD | 8 | 709 | 2023 UY3 | 2023-Nov-02 | 14.1 LD | 3.7 | 15 | 2022 JF | 2023-Nov-03 | 15.2 LD | 17.2 | 39 | 2023 QP8 | 2023-Nov-03 | 17.1 LD | 8.8 | 180 | 2016 VW2 | 2023-Nov-03 | 10.1 LD | 8.1 | 20 | 2019 UH7 | 2023-Nov-04 | 9.9 LD | 5.9 | 11 | 2023 TL31 | 2023-Nov-04 | 8.1 LD | 9.2 | 28 | 2023 UG4 | 2023-Nov-06 | 6.5 LD | 3.5 | 18 | 2023 TO15 | 2023-Nov-06 | 15.2 LD | 11.2 | 49 | 2023 TD14 | 2023-Nov-08 | 9.3 LD | 6.3 | 24 | 2023 VC | 2023-Nov-08 | 6.3 LD | 9.6 | 31 | 2023 UQ4 | 2023-Nov-11 | 10.7 LD | 8.4 | 39 | 2023 TZ2 | 2023-Nov-12 | 19 LD | 2.8 | 24 | 2014 BA3 | 2023-Nov-13 | 15.7 LD | 2.7 | 8 | 2023 UO | 2023-Nov-15 | 6.4 LD | 6.8 | 37 | 2021 TN3 | 2023-Nov-15 | 17 LD | 6.3 | 31 | 2019 VL5 | 2023-Nov-16 | 8.5 LD | 8.2 | 24 | 2019 LB1 | 2023-Nov-18 | 15.8 LD | 4.2 | 14 | 2016 DK1 | 2023-Nov-19 | 5.3 LD | 6.8 | 12 | 2022 VR1 | 2023-Nov-19 | 8.1 LD | 6.1 | 39 | 2019 UT6 | 2023-Nov-24 | 9 LD | 13.2 | 141 | 2019 CZ2 | 2023-Nov-25 | 2.8 LD | 5.8 | 44 | 2013 UB3 | 2023-Nov-27 | 18.5 LD | 5.4 | 25 | 1998 WB2 | 2023-Dec-03 | 11 LD | 14.2 | 151 | 2013 VX4 | 2023-Dec-04 | 5.1 LD | 6.6 | 60 | 2023 TB27 | 2023-Dec-06 | 17 LD | 4.3 | 45 | 139622 | 2023-Dec-06 | 14.4 LD | 6.7 | 719 | 2020 HX3 | 2023-Dec-10 | 9.8 LD | 15.7 | 13 | 2010 XF3 | 2023-Dec-11 | 19.4 LD | 4 | 46 | 2016 XD2 | 2023-Dec-19 | 18.7 LD | 6.9 | 59 | 341843 | 2023-Dec-20 | 16.5 LD | 5.3 | 344 | 2018 YJ2 | 2023-Dec-21 | 18.4 LD | 13.1 | 154 | 2022 YG | 2023-Dec-22 | 10.8 LD | 5.1 | 17 | 2020 YO3 | 2023-Dec-23 | 3.6 LD | 16.6 | 42 | 2010 UE51 | 2023-Dec-24 | 9 LD | 1.3 | 7 | 2020 YR2 | 2023-Dec-25 | 13.8 LD | 8 | 8 | 2021 AM6 | 2023-Dec-31 | 18.3 LD | 6.6 | 17 | Notes: LD means "Lunar Distance." 1 LD = 384,401 km, the distance between Earth and the Moon. 1 LD also equals 0.00256 AU. | Cosmic Rays in the Atmosphere | SPACE WEATHER BALLOON DATA: Almost once a week, Spaceweather.com and the students of Earth to Sky Calculus fly space weather balloons to the stratosphere over California. These balloons are equipped with sensors that detect secondary cosmic rays, a form of radiation from space that can penetrate all the way down to Earth's surface. Our monitoring program has been underway without interruption for 7 years, resulting in a unique dataset of in situ atmospheric measurements. Latest results (July 2022): Atmospheric radiation is decreasing in 2022. Our latest measurements in July 2022 registered a 6-year low: What's going on? Ironically, the radiation drop is caused by increasing solar activity. Solar Cycle 25 has roared to life faster than forecasters expected. The sun's strengthening and increasingly tangled magnetic field repels cosmic rays from deep space. In addition, solar coronal mass ejections (CMEs) sweep aside cosmic rays, causing sharp reductions called "Forbush Decreases." The two effects blend together to bring daily radiation levels down. .Who cares? Cosmic rays are a surprisingly "down to Earth" form of space weather. They can alter the chemistry of the atmosphere, trigger lightning, and penetrate commercial airplanes. According to a study from the Harvard T.H. Chan school of public health, crews of aircraft have higher rates of cancer than the general population. The researchers listed cosmic rays, irregular sleep habits, and chemical contaminants as leading risk factors. A number of controversial studies (#1, #2, #3, #4) go even further, linking cosmic rays with cardiac arrhythmias and sudden cardiac death. Technical notes: The radiation sensors onboard our helium balloons detect X-rays and gamma-rays in the energy range 10 keV to 20 MeV. These energies span the range of medical X-ray machines and airport security scanners. Data points in the graph labeled "Stratospheric Radiation" correspond to the peak of the Regener-Pfotzer maximum, which lies about 67,000 feet above central California. When cosmic rays crash into Earth's atmosphere, they produce a spray of secondary particles that is most intense at the entrance to the stratosphere. Physicists Eric Regener and Georg Pfotzer discovered the maximum using balloons in the 1930s and it is what we are measuring today. | The official U.S. government space weather bureau | | The first place to look for information about sundogs, pillars, rainbows and related phenomena. | | Researchers call it a "Hubble for the sun." SDO is the most advanced solar observatory ever. | | 3D views of the sun from NASA's Solar and Terrestrial Relations Observatory | | Realtime and archival images of the Sun from SOHO. | | information about sunspots based on the latest NOAA/USAF Active Region Summary | | current counts of failed and deployed Starlink satellites from Jonathan's Space Page | | Authoritative predictions of space junk and satellite re-entries | | from the NOAA Space Environment Center | | fun to read, but should be taken with a grain of salt! Forecasts looking ahead more than a few days are often wrong. | | from the NOAA Space Environment Center | | the underlying science of space weather | | When looking for casinos to play online when the weather is bad, you can try casino online trucchi for Italian games. If you are not from Finland you can try the Swedish page Svenska casino online to find suitable games, check out svenskacasinoonline.net. Always check your local laws before playing with real money. | | BestCSGOGambling is the best site for everything related to CSGO gambling on the web | | These links help Spaceweather.com stay online. Thank you to our supporters! | | | | | | | | | | | | ©2021 Spaceweather.com. All rights reserved. This site is penned daily by Dr. Tony Phillips. | |