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SpaceWeather.com -- News and information about meteor showers, solar flares, auroras, and near-Earth asteroids

SpaceWeather.com
Science news and information about the Sun-Earth environment.

SPACE WEATHER
Current
Conditions

Solar Wind
speed: 632.3 km/s
density:
0.9 protons/cm3
explanation | more data
Updated: Today at 2227 UT

X-ray Solar Flares
6-hr max:
A0 2235 UT Dec21
24-hr: A1 0835 UT Dec21
explanation | more data
Updated: Today at 2245 UT

Daily Sun: 21 Dec '06

The sun is blank and solar activity is low. Credit:
SOHO/MDI

Sunspot Number: 0
What is the sunspot number?
Updated: 20 Dec 2006

Far Side of the Sun

This holographic image reveals no large sunspots on the far side of the sun. Image credit: SOHO/MDI

Interplanetary Mag. Field
Btotal: 5.3 nT
Bz:
0.3 nT north
explanation | more data
Updated: Today at 2228 UT

Coronal Holes:

Earth is inside a solar wind stream flowing from the indicated coronal hole. Credit: SOHO Extreme UV Telescope


SPACE WEATHER
NOAA
Forecasts

Solar Flares: Probabilities for a medium-sized (M-class) or a major (X-class) solar flare during the next 24/48 hours are tabulated below.
Updated at 2006 Dec 21 2204 UTC
FLARE 0-24 hr 24-48 hr
CLASS M 01 % 01 %
CLASS X 01 % 01 %

Geomagnetic Storms: Probabilities for significant disturbances in Earth's magnetic field are given for three activity levels: active, minor storm, severe storm
Updated at 2006 Dec 21 2204 UTC
Mid-latitudes
0-24 hr 24-48 hr
ACTIVE 30 % 25 %
MINOR 15 % 10 %
SEVERE 05 % 01 %

High latitudes
0-24 hr 24-48 hr
ACTIVE 40 % 35 %
MINOR 20 % 15 %
SEVERE 05 % 05 %

What's Up in Space -- 21 Dec 2006
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THE NEXT SOLAR CYCLE: Evidence is mounting that the next solar cycle, due to peak in 2010 or 2011, is going to be a big one. Get the full story from Science@NASA.

SOLAR MINIMUM EXPLODES: Big sunspots. X-flares. Geomagnetic storms and auroras. This is solar minimum?

It is indeed. "All solar minima have solar flares and geomagnetic storms," says solar physicist David Hathaway, "and the solar minimum of 2006 is no exception." To illustrate the point, he made this plot showing the monthly number of X-flares vs. sunspot number:

A close look shows flares popping up at all phases of the solar cycle. Even at low ebb, notes Hathaway, the sun can be impressively active. What does it mean? Astronauts can never relax, while sky watchers always have something to look forward to.

2004 XL14: One of these stars is not like the others. Can you find the misfit?


Photo details: 14" telescope, SBIG CCD, 30s exp.

"The streak near the center of this image is not a star but a near-Earth asteroid," says photographer John Chumack of Yellow Springs, Ohio. "2004 XL14 is about 225 meters long and it passed by Earth last night only ten times farther away than the Moon." He recorded the flyby in a 30 second exposure through his homemade 14-inch telescope.

He also made a movie: 1 MB Windows Media. "It's amazing how fast this thing was moving, about 8 miles per second or 30,000 mph!"

There's no cause for alarm. Asteroids fly by Earth all the time without hitting. Next up: 2006 XD2, a 260 meter-wide rock passing 10.7 lunar distances from Earth on Dec. 24th. If you have a suitable telescope, you can catch it racing through the constellation Draco on Christmas Eve: ephemeris.



Potentially Hazardous Asteroids (PHAs) are space rocks larger than approximately 100m that can come closer to Earth than 0.05 AU. None of the known PHAs is on a collision course with our planet, although astronomers are finding new ones all the time.

On 21 Dec 2006 there were 831 known Potentially
Hazardous Asteroids

Dec 2006 Earth-asteroid encounters
ASTEROID

 DATE
(UT)

MISS DISTANCE

MAG.

 SIZE
2006 WQ127

Dec. 2

7.9 LD

19

~94 m
2006 WB

Dec. 5

7.0 LD

17

~130 m
2004 XL14

Dec. 20

10.1 LD

15

~225 m
2006 XD2

Dec. 24

10.7 LD

16

~260 m
Notes: LD is a "Lunar Distance." 1 LD = 384,401 km, the distance between Earth and the Moon. 1 LD also equals 0.00256 AU. MAG is the visual magnitude of the asteroid on the date of closest approach.

Essential Web Links

NOAA Space Environment Center -- The official U.S. government bureau for real-time monitoring of solar and geophysical events, research in solar-terrestrial physics, and forecasting solar and geophysical disturbances.

Atmospheric Optics -- the first place to look for information about sundogs, pillars, rainbows and related phenomena.

Solar and Heliospheric Observatory -- Realtime and archival images of the Sun from SOHO. (European Mirror Site)

Daily Sunspot Summaries -- from the NOAA Space Environment Center.

Current Solar Images -- from the National Solar Data Analysis Center

X-ray images of the Sun: GOES-12 and GOES-13

Recent Solar Events -- a summary of current solar conditions from lmsal.com.

What is the Magnetosphere?

The Lion Roars -- visit this site to find out what the magnetosphere sounds like.

List of Potentially Hazardous Asteroids -- from the Harvard Minor Planet Center.

Observable Comets -- from the Harvard Minor Planet Center.

Real-time Solar Wind Data -- from NASA's ACE spacecraft.

How powerful are solar wind gusts? Not very! Read this story from Science@NASA.

More Real-time Solar Wind Data -- from the Solar and Heliospheric Observatory Proton Monitor.

Lists of Coronal Mass Ejections -- from 1996 to 2006

Mirages: Mirages in Finland; An Introduction to Mirages;

NOAA Solar Flare and Sunspot Data: 1994, 1995, 1996, 1997, 1998, 1999; 2000; 2001; 2002; 2003; 2004; 2005; Jan-Mar 2006; Apr-Jun 2006; Jul-Sep 2006; Oct-Dec 2006.

This site is penned daily by Dr. Tony Phillips: email


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