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SpaceWeather.com -- News and information about meteor showers, solar flares, auroras, and near-Earth asteroids

SpaceWeather.com
Science news and information about the Sun-Earth environment.

SPACE WEATHER
Current
Conditions

Solar Wind

speed: 641.2 km/s
density:
1.1 protons/cm3
explanation | more data
Updated: Today at 2246 UT

X-ray Solar Flares

6-hr max:
C6 1750 UT Nov18
24-hr: M4 1010 UT Nov18
explanation | more data
Updated: Today at 2245 UT

Daily Sun: 18 Nov '03
Returning sunspot 484 has a beta-gamma magnetic field that poses a threat for M-class solar flares. Image credit: SOHO MDI

The Far Side of the Sun

This holographic image reveals a modest sunspot on the far side of the sun. Image credit: SOHO/MDI


Sunspot Number: 72
What is the sunspot number?
Updated: 17 Nov 2003

Interplanetary Mag. Field
Btotal: 3.0 nT
Bz:
1.4 nT south
explanation | more data
Updated: Today at 2247 UT

Coronal Holes:

Earth is inside a solar wind stream flowing from the indicated coronal hole. Image credit: SOHO Extreme UV Telescope.


SPACE WEATHER
NOAA
Forecasts

Solar Flares: Probabilities for a medium-sized (M-class) or a major (X-class) solar flare during the next 24/48 hours are tabulated below.
Updated at 2003 Nov 17 2200 UTC
FLARE 0-24 hr 24-48 hr
CLASS M 50 % 55 %
CLASS X 05 % 10 %

Geomagnetic Storms: Probabilities for significant disturbances in Earth's magnetic field are given for three activity levels: active, minor storm, severe storm
Updated at 2003 Nov 17 2200 UTC
Mid-latitudes
0-24 hr 24-48 hr
ACTIVE 35 % 35 %
MINOR 10 % 10 %
SEVERE 05 % 05 %

High latitudes
0-24 hr 24-48 hr
ACTIVE 35 % 40 %
MINOR 40 % 20 %
SEVERE 20 % 05 %

What's Up in Space -- 18 Nov 2003
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SOLAR OUTLOOK: Giant sunspots 486 and 488, which caused so much intense space weather last month, have been transiting the farside of the sun since Nov. 4th. Now they're back. The pair are emerging over the sun's eastern limb, carried around by our star's 27-day rotation. Sunspot 486 has already hurled one bright coronal mass ejection into space today. Get ready for more solar activity!

LEONID METEORS: The 2003 Leonid meteor shower is set to peak on Wednesday morning, Nov. 19th. Sky watchers on the Atlantic side of North America are favored; they could see as many as 80 meteors per hour between 1:00 a.m. and 4:00 a.m. local time. Pacific observers (e.g., in Alaska, Hawaii, Japan) will count nearly half that number--still a nice shower--just before local sunrise.

METEOR RADAR: While the meteor shower is underway this week, the powerful Naval Space Surveillance Radar (NAVSPASUR) will be scanning the skies above Texas and recording echoes from Leonids. They sound like ghostly pings. Click to listen:

Our radar monitoring sites are operated by engineer Stan Nelson.

AURORA WATCH: Earth is inside a fast-moving solar wind stream that has been stirring mild geomagnetic storms in recent days. High-latitude sky watchers should remain alert for auroras--like these photographed by Calvin Hall of Alaska on Nov. 13th:

"I drove about 100 miles north of Anchorage trying to find a hole in the clouds," says Hall. "As the clouds cleared out, I had several nice displays to enjoy and to photograph." [gallery]

LUNAR ECLIPSE: On Nov. 8th and 9th, the full moon glided through Earth's shadow and turned a delightful shade of sunset red--a lunar eclipse. Visit our lunar eclipse gallery for pictures from around the world.



Potentially Hazardous Asteroids (PHAs) are space rocks larger than approximately 100m that can come closer to Earth than 0.05 AU. None of the known PHAs are on a collision course with our planet, although astronomers are finding new ones all the time.

On 18 Nov 2003 there were 542 known Potentially
Hazardous Asteroids

November 2003 Earth-asteroid encounters
ASTEROID

 MISS DISTANCE

 MAG.
Hermes

Nov. 4

18 LD

 13
1990 OS

Nov. 12

9 LD

 15
1996 GT

Nov. 12

19 LD

 13
2003 UX5

Nov. 13

32 LD

 17
1998 UT18

Nov. 28

26 LD

 15
Notes: LD is a "Lunar Distance." 1 LD = 384,401 km, the distance between Earth and the Moon. 1 LD also equals 0.00256 AU. MAG is the visual magnitude of the asteroid on the date of closest approach.

Essential Web Links

NOAA Space Environment Center -- The official U.S. government bureau for real-time monitoring of solar and geophysical events, research in solar-terrestrial physics, and forecasting solar and geophysical disturbances.

Atmospheric Optics -- the first place to look for information about sundogs, pillars, rainbows and related phenomena.

Solar and Heliospheric Observatory -- Realtime and archival images of the Sun from SOHO. (European Mirror Site)

Daily Sunspot Summaries -- from the NOAA Space Environment Center.

Current Solar Images --a gallery of up-to-date solar pictures from the National Solar Data Analysis Center at the Goddard Space Flight Center. See also the GOES-12 Soft X-ray Imager.

Recent Solar Events -- a nice summary of current solar conditions from lmsal.com.

SOHO Farside Images of the Sun from SWAN and MDI.

The Latest SOHO Coronagraph Images -- from the Naval Research Lab

The Sun from Earth -- daily images of our star from the Big Bear Solar Observatory

List of Potentially Hazardous Asteroids -- from the Harvard Minor Planet Center.

Observable Comets -- from the Harvard Minor Planet Center.

What is the Interplanetary Magnetic Field? -- A lucid answer from the University of Michigan. See also the Anatomy of Earth's Magnetosphere.

Real-time Solar Wind Data -- from NASA's ACE spacecraft. How powerful are solar wind gusts? Read this story from Science@NASA.

More Real-time Solar Wind Data -- from the Solar and Heliospheric Observatory Proton Monitor.

Aurora Forecast --from the University of Alaska's Geophysical Institute

Daily Solar Flare and Sunspot Data -- from the NOAA Space Environment Center.

Lists of Coronal Mass Ejections -- from 1998 to 2001

What is an Iridium flare? See also Photographing Satellites by Brian Webb.

Vandenberg AFB missile launch schedule.

What is an Astronomical Unit, or AU?

Mirages: Mirages in Finland; An Introduction to Mirages;

NOAA Solar Flare and Sunspot Data: 1999; 2000; 2001; 2002; Jan-Mar., 2003; Apr-Jun., 2003;

Recent International Astronomical Union Circulars

GLOSSARY | SPACE WEATHER TUTORIAL

Editor's Note: Space weather and other forecasts that appear on this site are formulated by Dr. Tony Phillips. They are not official statements of any government agency (including NASA) nor should they be construed as guarantees of space weather or other celestial activity.

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Dr. Tony Phillips
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