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SpaceWeather.com -- News and information about meteor showers, solar flares, auroras, and near-Earth asteroids

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Science news and information about the Sun-Earth environment.

SPACE WEATHER
Current
Conditions

Solar Wind

speed: 514.0 km/s
density:
2.0 protons/cm3
explanation | more data
Updated: Today at 2244 UT

X-ray Solar Flares

6-hr max:
B7 2045 UT Jan20
24-hr: M5 0740 UT Jan20
explanation | more data
Updated: Today at 2245 UT

Daily Sun: 20 Jan '04
Sunspot 540 poses a threat for M-class solar flares. Image credit: SOHO/MDI

The Far Side of the Sun

This holographic image reveals no big sunspots on the far side of the Sun. Image credit: SOHO/MDI


Sunspot Number: 87
What is the sunspot number?
Updated: 19 Jan 2004

Interplanetary Mag. Field
Btotal: 6.1 nT
Bz:
5.2 nT south
explanation | more data
Updated: Today at 2245 UT

Coronal Holes:

There are no big coronal holes on the Earth-facing side of the sun today. Image credit: SOHO Extreme UV Telescope.


SPACE WEATHER
NOAA
Forecasts

Solar Flares: Probabilities for a medium-sized (M-class) or a major (X-class) solar flare during the next 24/48 hours are tabulated below.
Updated at 2004 Jan 20 2200 UTC
FLARE 0-24 hr 24-48 hr
CLASS M 30 % 30 %
CLASS X 05 % 05 %

Geomagnetic Storms: Probabilities for significant disturbances in Earth's magnetic field are given for three activity levels: active, minor storm, severe storm
Updated at 2004 Jan 20 2200 UTC
Mid-latitudes
0-24 hr 24-48 hr
ACTIVE 25 % 45 %
MINOR 10 % 25 %
SEVERE 05 % 15 %

High latitudes
0-24 hr 24-48 hr
ACTIVE 30 % 45 %
MINOR 15 % 35 %
SEVERE 05 % 20 %

What's Up in Space -- 20 Jan 2004
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AURORA OUTLOOK: A coronal mass ejection (CME, pictured right) is heading for Earth, and it will probably arrive on Jan. 22nd. High-latitude sky watchers should be alert for auroras then. The cloud was hurled into space by an C6-category explosion near sunspot 540 on Jan. 20th.

Would you like a call when auroras appear in your area? Sign up for Spaceweather PHONE.

GROWING SUNSPOTS: Just yesterday sunspot 542 was tiny and sunspot 543 didn't exist. Today both are big sunspots: watch them grow. Meanwhile, sunspot 540 has developed a complex magnetic field that could unleash an X-class solar flare.

Above: The Sun on Jan. 18th, photographed by Jack Newton using a red H-alpha filter. Note the looping solar filament near the top of the disk. It measures 50 Earth diameters from side to side. Sometimes filaments like these collapse and explode--an event astronomers call a "Hyder Flare."

SNOW PILLARS: "As I left my workshop tonight, I saw this light pillar in the lightly falling snow," says Dave Fox of North Brookfield, New York. "The light source is the spotlight on the end of our house, which I blocked with the protruding board."

Atmospheric optics expert Les Cowley comments: "When ice crystals are in the air look for light pillars and other halos around outdoor lights. This pillar is so well defined that it must have been made by small plate shaped ice or snow crystals floating downwards with their large mirror like faces horizontal. Larger crystals and flakes are randomly oriented and produce uniform glows and rings around lights like those made by the wet or frost rimed twigs on trees."

MERCURY AT DAWN: Early risers on January 19th saw a pretty encounter between the planet Mercury and the crescent Moon, both rising just ahead of the morning sun. Here are some pictures: from Dennis Mammana at the Panama Canal; from John Stetson of Portland, ME; from Robert Smith of Stoneville, NC; from Ginger Mayfield overlooking Pike's Peak, CO; from Dan Bush of Albany, Missouri; from Ted Collins of Reno, Nevada.



Potentially Hazardous Asteroids (PHAs) are space rocks larger than approximately 100m that can come closer to Earth than 0.05 AU. None of the known PHAs are on a collision course with our planet, although astronomers are finding new ones all the time.

On 20 Jan 2004 there were 569 known Potentially
Hazardous Asteroids

December 2003 Earth-asteroid encounters
ASTEROID

 MISS DISTANCE

 MAG.
2003 YS17

Jan 14

14 LD

 17
2001 BE10

Jan 15

23 LD

 14
Notes: LD is a "Lunar Distance." 1 LD = 384,401 km, the distance between Earth and the Moon. 1 LD also equals 0.00256 AU. MAG is the visual magnitude of the asteroid on the date of closest approach.

Essential Web Links

NOAA Space Environment Center -- The official U.S. government bureau for real-time monitoring of solar and geophysical events, research in solar-terrestrial physics, and forecasting solar and geophysical disturbances.

Atmospheric Optics -- the first place to look for information about sundogs, pillars, rainbows and related phenomena.

Solar and Heliospheric Observatory -- Realtime and archival images of the Sun from SOHO. (European Mirror Site)

Daily Sunspot Summaries -- from the NOAA Space Environment Center.

Current Solar Images --a gallery of up-to-date solar pictures from the National Solar Data Analysis Center at the Goddard Space Flight Center. See also the GOES-12 Soft X-ray Imager.

Recent Solar Events -- a nice summary of current solar conditions from lmsal.com.

SOHO Farside Images of the Sun from SWAN and MDI.

The Latest SOHO Coronagraph Images -- from the Naval Research Lab

The Sun from Earth -- daily images of our star from the Big Bear Solar Observatory

List of Potentially Hazardous Asteroids -- from the Harvard Minor Planet Center.

Observable Comets -- from the Harvard Minor Planet Center.

What is the Interplanetary Magnetic Field? -- A lucid answer from the University of Michigan. See also the Anatomy of Earth's Magnetosphere.

Real-time Solar Wind Data -- from NASA's ACE spacecraft. How powerful are solar wind gusts? Read this story from Science@NASA.

More Real-time Solar Wind Data -- from the Solar and Heliospheric Observatory Proton Monitor.

Aurora Forecast --from the University of Alaska's Geophysical Institute

Daily Solar Flare and Sunspot Data -- from the NOAA Space Environment Center.

Lists of Coronal Mass Ejections -- from 1998 to 2001

What is an Iridium flare? See also Photographing Satellites by Brian Webb.

Vandenberg AFB missile launch schedule.

What is an Astronomical Unit, or AU?

Mirages: Mirages in Finland; An Introduction to Mirages;

NOAA Solar Flare and Sunspot Data: 1999; 2000; 2001; 2002; Jan-Mar., 2003; Apr-Jun., 2003;

Recent International Astronomical Union Circulars

GLOSSARY | SPACE WEATHER TUTORIAL

Editor's Note: This site is sponsored by Science@NASA. Space weather and other forecasts that appear here are formulated by Dr. Tony Phillips. They should not be construed as guarantees of space weather or other celestial activity.

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