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SpaceWeather.com -- News and information about meteor showers, solar flares, auroras, and near-Earth asteroids

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Science news and information about the Sun-Earth environment.

SPACE WEATHER
Current
Conditions

Solar Wind
speed: 420.0 km/s
density:
0.4 protons/cm3
explanation | more data
Updated: Today at 1921 UT


X-ray Solar Flares

6-hr max:
A5 2120 UT Nov18
24-hr: B2 0925 UT Nov18
explanation | more data
Updated: Today at 2245 UT

Daily Sun: 18 Nov '06

None of these sunspots pose a threat for strong solar flares. Credit:
SOHO/MDI

Sunspot Number: 38
What is the sunspot number?
Updated: 17 Nov 2006

Far Side of the Sun

This holographic image reveals one sunspot on the far side of the sun. Image credit: SOHO/MDI

Interplanetary Mag. Field
Btotal: 8.9 nT
Bz:
0.4 nT south
explanation | more data
Updated: Today at 2247 UT

Coronal Holes:

A solar wind stream flowing from the indicated coronal hole will reach Earth on or about Nov. 22nd. Credit: NOAA GOES-13.


SPACE WEATHER
NOAA
Forecasts

Solar Flares: Probabilities for a medium-sized (M-class) or a major (X-class) solar flare during the next 24/48 hours are tabulated below.
Updated at 2006 Nov 18 2204 UTC
FLARE 0-24 hr 24-48 hr
CLASS M 05 % 05 %
CLASS X 01 % 01 %

Geomagnetic Storms: Probabilities for significant disturbances in Earth's magnetic field are given for three activity levels: active, minor storm, severe storm
Updated at 2006 Nov 18 2204 UTC
Mid-latitudes
0-24 hr 24-48 hr
ACTIVE 25 % 25 %
MINOR 10 % 10 %
SEVERE 01 % 01 %

High latitudes
0-24 hr 24-48 hr
ACTIVE 30 % 30 %
MINOR 15 % 15 %
SEVERE 05 % 05 %

What's Up in Space -- 18 Nov 2006
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Autumn is here, and it's a wonderful time for stargazing. Find out what's up from Spaceweather PHONE.

METEOR RADAR: The USAF Space Surveillance Radar is scanning the skies above the southern USA, pinging anything that flies overhead. This weekend, the radar's loudspeakers may be ringing with echoes from Leonid meteors. Click to listen: live audio.

LEONID METEORS: Every year in mid-November, Earth glides through a veritable minefield of comet dust clouds. The source: Comet 55P/Tempel-Tuttle. This weekend Earth will graze one of those clouds, producing an outburst of Leonid meteors.

If forecasters are correct, the outburst will peak around 0445 UT on Sunday, Nov. 19th (11:45 p.m. EST on Saturday, Nov. 18th). The timing favors observers in western Europe, Brazil and the Atlantic coast of North America, who could see as many as 100 meteors per hour: full story.

Although the shower is expected to peak sharply at 0445 UT on Nov. 19th, keep an eye on the sky at other times, too. Leonids may appear in fits and spurts all weekend long. The best time to watch, generally speaking, is during the hours before dawn when the constellation Leo is high in the sky: sky map.

HOLE PUNCH CLOUDS: The sky is full of mysteries, and one of them appeared over Wisconsin on Wednesday, Nov. 15th. "I live in Stevens Point on the University of Wisconsin campus, and I saw some very strange clouds," reports Samantha Weise who took several pictures:


more: #1, #2, #3, #4, #5, #6, #7

These are "hole punch clouds," and no one is certain what they are. One theory holds that they are formed by jet airplanes punching through a cirrocumulous cloud deck. When the jet pierces the cloud, supercooled water droplets in the cloud suddenly crystallize. This water-to-ice transformation proceeds outward from the point of impact, creating a vast circle of icy wisps--the "hole." But how many jets would it take to create this display? A mystery, indeed.

Readers, if you ever see a hole punch cloud in the act of opening, take pictures. You could help solve the puzzle of these beautiful formations.

UPDATE (Nov. 17): NASA and NOAA satellite images reveal that there were jets in the area on Nov. 15th. Apparently the jets themselves did not punch through the clouds, but particles in their exhaust may have fallen down through the cloud deck, creating the holes as described above: full story.



Potentially Hazardous Asteroids (PHAs) are space rocks larger than approximately 100m that can come closer to Earth than 0.05 AU. None of the known PHAs is on a collision course with our planet, although astronomers are finding new ones all the time.

On 18 Nov 2006 there were 831 known Potentially
Hazardous Asteroids

Nov-Dec 2006 Earth-asteroid encounters
ASTEROID

 DATE
(UT)

MISS DISTANCE

MAG.

 SIZE
2006 UQ216

Nov. 7

5.6 LD

21

~15 m
2006 WB

Dec. 4

6.9 LD

17

~130 m
Notes: LD is a "Lunar Distance." 1 LD = 384,401 km, the distance between Earth and the Moon. 1 LD also equals 0.00256 AU. MAG is the visual magnitude of the asteroid on the date of closest approach.

Essential Web Links

NOAA Space Environment Center -- The official U.S. government bureau for real-time monitoring of solar and geophysical events, research in solar-terrestrial physics, and forecasting solar and geophysical disturbances.

Atmospheric Optics -- the first place to look for information about sundogs, pillars, rainbows and related phenomena.

Solar and Heliospheric Observatory -- Realtime and archival images of the Sun from SOHO. (European Mirror Site)

Daily Sunspot Summaries -- from the NOAA Space Environment Center.

Current Solar Images --a gallery of up-to-date solar pictures from the National Solar Data Analysis Center at the Goddard Space Flight Center. See also the GOES-12 Solar X-ray Imager.

Recent Solar Events -- a nice summary of current solar conditions from lmsal.com.

List of Potentially Hazardous Asteroids -- from the Harvard Minor Planet Center.

Observable Comets -- from the Harvard Minor Planet Center.

What is the Interplanetary Magnetic Field? -- A lucid answer from the University of Michigan. See also the Anatomy of Earth's Magnetosphere.

Real-time Solar Wind Data -- from NASA's ACE spacecraft. How powerful are solar wind gusts? Read this story from Science@NASA.

More Real-time Solar Wind Data -- from the Solar and Heliospheric Observatory Proton Monitor.

Lists of Coronal Mass Ejections -- from 1998 to 2001

Mirages: Mirages in Finland; An Introduction to Mirages;

NOAA Solar Flare and Sunspot Data: 1996, 1997, 1998, 1999; 2000; 2001; 2002; 2003; 2004; 2005; Jan-Mar 2006;

Space Audio Streams: (NASA/Marshall) INSPIRE: #1; (Stan Nelson of Roswell, New Mexico) meteor radar: #1, #2;

GLOSSARY | SPACE WEATHER TUTORIAL

This site is penned daily by Dr. Tony Phillips: email


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