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SpaceWeather.com -- News and information about meteor showers, solar flares, auroras, and near-Earth asteroids

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Science news and information about the Sun-Earth environment.

SPACE WEATHER
Current
Conditions

Solar Wind

speed: 805.2 km/s
density:
1.6 protons/cm3
explanation | more data
Updated: Today at 2246 UT

X-ray Solar Flares

6-hr max:
C4 1815 UT Nov16
24-hr: C6 1035 UT
explanation | more data
Updated: Today at 2245 UT

Daily Sun: 16 Nov '03
Returning sunspot 484 has a beta-gamma magnetic field that poses a threat for M-class solar flares. Image credit: SOHO MDI

The Far Side of the Sun

Giant sunspots 486 and 488 are in the blind spot of this Nov. 14th holographic image. Image credit: SOHO/MDI


Sunspot Number: 52
What is the sunspot number?
Updated: 15 Nov 2003

Interplanetary Mag. Field
Btotal: 6.2 nT
Bz:
1.9 nT south
explanation | more data
Updated: Today at 2247 UT

Coronal Holes:

Earth is inside a solar wind stream flowing from the indicated coronal hole. Image credit: SOHO Extreme UV Telescope.


SPACE WEATHER
NOAA
Forecasts

Solar Flares: Probabilities for a medium-sized (M-class) or a major (X-class) solar flare during the next 24/48 hours are tabulated below.
Updated at 2003 Nov 16 2200 UTC
FLARE 0-24 hr 24-48 hr
CLASS M 40 % 50 %
CLASS X 05 % 05 %

Geomagnetic Storms: Probabilities for significant disturbances in Earth's magnetic field are given for three activity levels: active, minor storm, severe storm
Updated at 2003 Nov 16 2200 UTC
Mid-latitudes
0-24 hr 24-48 hr
ACTIVE 35 % 35 %
MINOR 35 % 35 %
SEVERE 20 % 10 %

High latitudes
0-24 hr 24-48 hr
ACTIVE 30 % 30 %
MINOR 35 % 25 %
SEVERE 25 % 25 %

What's Up in Space -- 16 Nov 2003
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AURORA WATCH: For the third day in a row, a solar wind stream is buffeting Earth's magnetic field and causing mild geomagnetic storms. High-latitude sky watchers should remain alert for auroras such as these photographed by Jairus Justice of Manitoba, Canada, on Nov. 15th.

Would you like a phone call when auroras appear over your home town? Sign up for Spaceweather PHONE.

RETURNING SUNSPOTS: Using a technique called helioseismic holography, astronomers can do something amazing: look through the sun to find sunspots on the far side of our star. On Nov. 12th their holographic maps revealed giant sunspots 486 and 488--the same active regions that caused so much intense space weather a few weeks ago. (continued below)

These spots are still active. Explosions from their vicinity have been hurling clouds of gas over the sun's limb in recent days, e.g., on Nov. 11th and Nov. 12th. The sun's 27-day rotation will soon carry the pair around to the Earth-facing side of the sun. So get ready for more solar activity!

Meanwhile another one of last month's giant sunspots has reappeared: Active region 484 looks smaller than it did in late October. Nevertheless it has been active, hurling a bright coronal mass ejection into space on Nov. 13th.

LUNAR ECLIPSE: On Nov. 8th and 9th, millions of sky watchers saw Earth's shadow glide across the moon--a lunar eclipse. Just before the eclipse began, Ed Morana of Tracy, California, saw something else: the International Space Station (ISS). This composite picture is perhaps the most detailed image ever taken of the space station transiting the moon:

Morana wasn't surprised when the ISS appeared. He knew it was coming thanks to Thomas Fly's ISS transit alert service.

Nov. 8/9, 2003, Lunar Eclipse Gallery

LEONID METEORS: The 2003 Leonid meteor shower is set to peak on the morning of Wednesday, Nov. 19th. Sky watchers on the Atlantic side of North America are favored; they could see as many as 100 meteors per hour. Get the full story from Science@NASA.

The powerful Naval Space Surveillance Radar (NAVSPASUR) will be scanning the skies above Texas during the meteor shower. Radar echoes from Leonids sound like ghostly pings. Listen using one of the real-time audio links below:

The Roswell, New Mexico, monitoring sites are operated by engineer and amateur astronomer Stan Nelson.



Potentially Hazardous Asteroids (PHAs) are space rocks larger than approximately 100m that can come closer to Earth than 0.05 AU. None of the known PHAs are on a collision course with our planet, although astronomers are finding new ones all the time.

On 16 Nov 2003 there were 542 known Potentially
Hazardous Asteroids

November 2003 Earth-asteroid encounters
ASTEROID

 MISS DISTANCE

 MAG.
Hermes

Nov. 4

18 LD

 13
1990 OS

Nov. 12

9 LD

 15
1996 GT

Nov. 12

19 LD

 13
2003 UX5

Nov. 13

32 LD

 17
1998 UT18

Nov. 28

26 LD

 15
Notes: LD is a "Lunar Distance." 1 LD = 384,401 km, the distance between Earth and the Moon. 1 LD also equals 0.00256 AU. MAG is the visual magnitude of the asteroid on the date of closest approach.

Essential Web Links

NOAA Space Environment Center -- The official U.S. government bureau for real-time monitoring of solar and geophysical events, research in solar-terrestrial physics, and forecasting solar and geophysical disturbances.

Atmospheric Optics -- the first place to look for information about sundogs, pillars, rainbows and related phenomena.

Solar and Heliospheric Observatory -- Realtime and archival images of the Sun from SOHO. (European Mirror Site)

Daily Sunspot Summaries -- from the NOAA Space Environment Center.

Current Solar Images --a gallery of up-to-date solar pictures from the National Solar Data Analysis Center at the Goddard Space Flight Center. See also the GOES-12 Soft X-ray Imager.

Recent Solar Events -- a nice summary of current solar conditions from lmsal.com.

SOHO Farside Images of the Sun from SWAN and MDI.

The Latest SOHO Coronagraph Images -- from the Naval Research Lab

The Sun from Earth -- daily images of our star from the Big Bear Solar Observatory

List of Potentially Hazardous Asteroids -- from the Harvard Minor Planet Center.

Observable Comets -- from the Harvard Minor Planet Center.

What is the Interplanetary Magnetic Field? -- A lucid answer from the University of Michigan. See also the Anatomy of Earth's Magnetosphere.

Real-time Solar Wind Data -- from NASA's ACE spacecraft. How powerful are solar wind gusts? Read this story from Science@NASA.

More Real-time Solar Wind Data -- from the Solar and Heliospheric Observatory Proton Monitor.

Aurora Forecast --from the University of Alaska's Geophysical Institute

Daily Solar Flare and Sunspot Data -- from the NOAA Space Environment Center.

Lists of Coronal Mass Ejections -- from 1998 to 2001

What is an Iridium flare? See also Photographing Satellites by Brian Webb.

Vandenberg AFB missile launch schedule.

What is an Astronomical Unit, or AU?

Mirages: Mirages in Finland; An Introduction to Mirages;

NOAA Solar Flare and Sunspot Data: 1999; 2000; 2001; 2002; Jan-Mar., 2003; Apr-Jun., 2003;

Recent International Astronomical Union Circulars

GLOSSARY | SPACE WEATHER TUTORIAL

Editor's Note: Space weather and other forecasts that appear on this site are formulated by Dr. Tony Phillips. They are not official statements of any government agency (including NASA) nor should they be construed as guarantees of space weather or other celestial activity.

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Dr. Tony Phillips
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