| | Switch to: Europe, USA, New Zealand, Antarctica Credit: NOAA/Ovation Planetary K-index Now: Kp= 1 quiet 24-hr max: Kp= 3 quiet explanation | more data Interplanetary Mag. Field Btotal: 3.9 nT Bz: 2.2 nT north more data: ACE, DSCOVR Updated: Today at 2351 UT Coronal Holes: 14 Dec 17 Solar wind flowing from the indicated coronal hole could reach Earth on Dec. 16-17. Credit: SDO/AIA Noctilucent Clouds Latest images from NASA's AIM spacecraft show that the 2017 northern summer season for noctilucent clouds has finished. Switch view: Europe, USA, Asia, Polar Updated at: 09-03-2017 01:55:03 SPACE WEATHER NOAA Forecasts | | Updated at: 2017 Dec 14 2200 UTC FLARE | 0-24 hr | 24-48 hr | CLASS M | 01 % | 01 % | CLASS X | 01 % | 01 % | Geomagnetic Storms: Probabilities for significant disturbances in Earth's magnetic field are given for three activity levels: active, minor storm, severe storm Updated at: 2017 Dec 14 2200 UTC Mid-latitudes | 0-24 hr | 24-48 hr | ACTIVE | 10 % | 10 % | MINOR | 01 % | 01 % | SEVERE | 01 % | 01 % | High latitudes | 0-24 hr | 24-48 hr | ACTIVE | 15 % | 15 % | MINOR | 15 % | 15 % | SEVERE | 10 % | 10 % | | | | | | | | | | | | All-inclusive Northern Lights trips in Tromsø, Norway. Small groups, big experiences! Highly qualified guides ensure unique and unforgettable adventures with a personal touch. Visit Explore the Arctic | | | THE NEXT SOLAR WIND STREAM: A hole in the sun's atmosphere is facing Earth, and it is spewing a stream of solar wind toward our planet. Estimated time of arrival: Dec. 17-18. Arctic sky watchers should be alert for auroras when the gaseous material arrivals. Free: Aurora Alerts. THE GEMINID METEOR SHOWER: The Geminid meteor shower is peaking today, Dec. 14th, as Earth passes through a stream of gravelly debris from rock comet 3200 Phaethon. Spotters working with the International Meteor Organization are reporting as many as 80 meteors per hour in ideally-dark observing sites: data. Just hours ago, Todd Salat spotted this bright Geminid streaking over Girdwood, Alaska: "This one went right over the Alyeska ski slopes," says Salat. "It was an impressive meteor shower!" A similar Geminid appeared over Rodokipos, Halkidiki, Greece. "I was stunned when a bright fireball split the sky in two," says photographer Constantine Emmanouilidi. "I managed to spot more than 50 meteors among the clouds in about an hour of good viewing," he says. Earth will probably begin to exit the Geminid debris stream later today. Nevertheless, meteors should still be visible on the night of Dec. 14-15. The best time to look, no matter where you live, is during the dark hours before sunrise on Friday when the constellation Gemini is high overhead. [sky map] Realtime Meteor Photo Gallery HAVE A STAR WARS CHRISTMAS: The Last Jedi opens today on movie screens around the USA. To get ready, the students of Earth to Sky Calculus launched a space weather balloon. These kids do science, and the payload of their balloon carried an array of cosmic ray sensors to measure radiation coming from deep space. Oh, and one more thing…. BB-8: During the 2.5 hour flight, the plucky robot experienced temperatures as low as -67 C and cosmic ray dose rates 100x Earth-normal. After the balloon exploded 107,342 feet above the Sierra Nevada mountains of central California, BB-8 parachuted back to Earth, landing in the desert near Silver Peak, Nevada. You can have BB-8 for $79.95. Each ornament comes with a unique gift card showing BB-8 floating at the top of Earth's atmosphere. The interior of the card tells the story of the flight. It also comes with a bonus photo of BB-8 in the stratosphere. Hang it on your Christmas tree alongside BB-8 to impress holiday visitors! Far Out Gifts: Earth to Sky Store All proceeds support hands-on STEM education Realtime Aurora Photo Gallery Realtime Space Weather Photo Gallery Every night, a network of NASA all-sky cameras scans the skies above the United States for meteoritic fireballs. Automated software maintained by NASA's Meteoroid Environment Office calculates their orbits, velocity, penetration depth in Earth's atmosphere and many other characteristics. Daily results are presented here on Spaceweather.com. On Dec. 14, 2017, the network reported 668 fireballs. (475 , 175 , 7 , 7 , 3 , 1 , 0 sporadics) In this diagram of the inner solar system, all of the fireball orbits intersect at a single point--Earth. The orbits are color-coded by velocity, from slow (red) to fast (blue). [Larger image] [movies] Potentially Hazardous Asteroids ( PHAs) are space rocks larger than approximately 100m that can come closer to Earth than 0.05 AU. None of the known PHAs is on a collision course with our planet, although astronomers are finding new ones all the time. On December 14, 2017 there were 1872 potentially hazardous asteroids. | Recent & Upcoming Earth-asteroid encounters: Asteroid | Date(UT) | Miss Distance | Velocity (km/s) | Diameter (m) | 2017 XS | 2017-Dec-08 | 7.4 LD | 10.6 | 101 | 2017 WV12 | 2017-Dec-09 | 3.4 LD | 10.6 | 27 | 2017 WE13 | 2017-Dec-12 | 16.4 LD | 5.3 | 27 | 2017 VS14 | 2017-Dec-12 | 15.8 LD | 2.8 | 15 | 2017 WJ28 | 2017-Dec-13 | 12.8 LD | 6 | 20 | 2015 XX169 | 2017-Dec-14 | 9.7 LD | 6.3 | 11 | 2006 XY | 2017-Dec-14 | 3.4 LD | 4.9 | 56 | 2017 XK1 | 2017-Dec-15 | 6.2 LD | 12.3 | 32 | 2017 VT14 | 2017-Dec-17 | 3.8 LD | 10.4 | 88 | 2011 YD29 | 2017-Dec-19 | 17.6 LD | 7.7 | 20 | 2017 WX12 | 2017-Dec-21 | 10 LD | 11.4 | 136 | 2017 TS3 | 2017-Dec-22 | 18.1 LD | 10.2 | 137 | 418849 | 2017-Dec-22 | 15.3 LD | 17.4 | 257 | 2015 YQ1 | 2017-Dec-22 | 17.3 LD | 11.1 | 9 | 2017 WZ14 | 2017-Dec-24 | 7.6 LD | 4.9 | 33 | 2017 XG1 | 2017-Dec-29 | 16.4 LD | 9.9 | 37 | 2017 QL33 | 2017-Dec-30 | 13.3 LD | 8.2 | 190 | 2015 RT1 | 2018-Jan-02 | 19.7 LD | 9 | 30 | 2004 FH | 2018-Jan-10 | 20 LD | 8.5 | 26 | 306383 | 2018-Jan-22 | 14.4 LD | 17.4 | 178 | 2002 CB19 | 2018-Feb-02 | 10.5 LD | 15.6 | 36 | 276033 | 2018-Feb-04 | 11 LD | 34 | 646 | 2015 BN509 | 2018-Feb-09 | 12.9 LD | 17.7 | 257 | 1991 VG | 2018-Feb-11 | 18.4 LD | 2.1 | 7 | 2014 WQ202 | 2018-Feb-11 | 15.1 LD | 19.8 | 62 | Notes: LD means "Lunar Distance." 1 LD = 384,401 km, the distance between Earth and the Moon. 1 LD also equals 0.00256 AU. MAG is the visual magnitude of the asteroid on the date of closest approach. | Cosmic Rays in the Atmosphere | Readers, thank you for your patience while we continue to develop this new section of Spaceweather.com. We've been working to streamline our data reduction, allowing us to post results from balloon flights much more rapidly, and we have developed a new data product, shown here: This plot displays radiation measurements not only in the stratosphere, but also at aviation altitudes. Dose rates are expessed as multiples of sea level. For instance, we see that boarding a plane that flies at 25,000 feet exposes passengers to dose rates ~10x higher than sea level. At 40,000 feet, the multiplier is closer to 50x. These measurements are made by our usual cosmic ray payload as it passes through aviation altitudes en route to the stratosphere over California. What is this all about? Approximately once a week, Spaceweather.com and the students of Earth to Sky Calculus fly space weather balloons to the stratosphere over California. These balloons are equipped with radiation sensors that detect cosmic rays, a surprisingly "down to Earth" form of space weather. Cosmic rays can seed clouds, trigger lightning, and penetrate commercial airplanes. Furthermore, there are studies ( #1, #2, #3, #4) linking cosmic rays with cardiac arrhythmias and sudden cardiac death in the general population. Our latest measurements show that cosmic rays are intensifying, with an increase of more than 13% since 2015: Why are cosmic rays intensifying? The main reason is the sun. Solar storm clouds such as coronal mass ejections (CMEs) sweep aside cosmic rays when they pass by Earth. During Solar Maximum, CMEs are abundant and cosmic rays are held at bay. Now, however, the solar cycle is swinging toward Solar Minimum, allowing cosmic rays to return. Another reason could be the weakening of Earth's magnetic field, which helps protect us from deep-space radiation. The radiation sensors onboard our helium balloons detect X-rays and gamma-rays in the energy range 10 keV to 20 MeV. These energies span the range of medical X-ray machines and airport security scanners. The data points in the graph above correspond to the peak of the Reneger-Pfotzer maximum, which lies about 67,000 feet above central California. When cosmic rays crash into Earth's atmosphere, they produce a spray of secondary particles that is most intense at the entrance to the stratosphere. Physicists Eric Reneger and Georg Pfotzer discovered the maximum using balloons in the 1930s and it is what we are measuring today. | The official U.S. government space weather bureau | | The first place to look for information about sundogs, pillars, rainbows and related phenomena. | | Researchers call it a "Hubble for the sun." SDO is the most advanced solar observatory ever. | | 3D views of the sun from NASA's Solar and Terrestrial Relations Observatory | | Realtime and archival images of the Sun from SOHO. | | from the NOAA Space Environment Center | | fun to read, but should be taken with a grain of salt! Forecasts looking ahead more than a few days are often wrong. | | from the NOAA Space Environment Center | | the underlying science of space weather | | Reviews here can help you to pick up best memory foam mattresses. | | These links help Spaceweather.com stay online. Thank you to our supporters! | | | | | | | | | | | | ©2017 Spaceweather.com. All rights reserved. This site is penned daily by Dr. Tony Phillips. | |