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SpaceWeather.com -- News and information about meteor showers, solar flares, auroras, and near-Earth asteroids
SPACE WEATHER
Current conditions
Solar wind
speed: 369.0 km/sec
density: 3.0 protons/cm3
explanation | more data
Updated: Today at 2246 UT
X-ray Solar Flares
6-hr max: A0
2245 UT Nov11
24-hr: A0
2245 UT Nov11
explanation | more data
Updated: Today at: 2245 UT
Daily Sun: 11 Nov 07
The sun is blank--no sunspots. Credit: SOHO/MDI
Sunspot number: 0
What is the sunspot number?
Updated 10 Nov 2007
Far side of the Sun:
This holographic image reveals no sunspots on the far side of the sun. Image credit: SOHO/MDI
Planetary K-index
Now: Kp= 0 quiet
24-hr max: Kp= 1
quiet
explanation | more data
Current Auroral Oval:

Switch to: Europe, USA, New Zealand, Antarctica
Credit: NOAA/POES
Updated:
What is the auroral oval?
Interplanetary Mag. Field
Btotal: 2.8 nT
Bz: 1.4 nT north
explanation | more data
Updated: Today at 2246 UT
Coronal Holes:
A solar wind stream flowing from this coronal hole could reach Earth as early as Nov. 13th or 14th. Credit: SOHO Extreme UV Telescope
SPACE WEATHER
NOAA Forecasts
Updated at: 2007 Nov 11 2203 UTC
FLARE
0-24 hr
24-48 hr
CLASS M
01 %
01 %
CLASS X
01 %
01 %
Geomagnetic Storms:
Probabilities for significant disturbances in Earth's magnetic field are given for three activity levels: active, minor storm, severe storm
Updated at: 2007 Nov 11 2203 UTC
Mid-latitudes
0-24 hr
24-48 hr
ACTIVE
10 %
25 %
MINOR
05 %
15 %
SEVERE
01 %
05 %
High latitudes
0-24 hr
24-48 hr
ACTIVE
10 %
35 %
MINOR
05 %
15 %
SEVERE
01 %
10 %

What's up in Space
November 11, 2007
Where's Saturn? Is that a UFO--or the ISS? What's the name of that star? Get the answers from mySKY--a fun new astronomy helper from Meade.

TAURID METEORS: The annual Nouthern Taurid meteor shower caused by Comet Encke is underway. Although Taurid rates are normally low, only about five meteors per hour, those five can be doozies. The shower is a well-known producer of terrestrial fireballs and lunar explosions. Taurids can appear at any hour of the night, so be alert for meteors this weekend: sky map.

FUEL DUMP: Last night, many sky watchers noticed a new nebula in the constellation Orion. "It looked similar to the Andromeda galaxy--then, it began growing larger and we realized it was moving fast," reports Anna Webb of Hawaii. "Is this a new comet? A satellite burning up in the atmosphere?" Answer: It was a rocket fuel dump.

Pierre Martin of Ottawa, Canada, photographed the event using his Canon 30D:

"At 8:50 pm EST last night, a Delta-4 Heavy Rocket was launched from Cape Canaveral, Florida," says Martin. "The payload was a Defense Support Program missile warning satellite (DSP-23). A circularization burn for the DPS-23 was scheduled for 3:01am EST, followed by a fuel dump at 3:21am EST. Because both the Centaur rocket burn (duration: 3 minutes) and the residual fuel and oxidizer dump after payload separation occurred at an altitude of 22,000-miles, both were briefly visible to the naked eye. Through binoculars, one of the expanding clouds looked strikingly like an angel."

more images: from Jay Ballauer and Vance Bagwell of Crowell, Texas

SEVERED TAIL: Comet 17P/Holmes is experiencing a "disconnection event"--the comet's beautiful blue ion tail has become disconnected from its head. "The event was easy to photograph last night," says Thorsten Boeckel who sends this picture from a dark-sky site 1700m high in the Italian Alps:

Other astronomers have seen it, too. The disruption does not necessarily signal a new outburst of Comet Holmes. Comet tails can be disconnected by gusts of solar wind which trigger magnetic storms around the comet akin to geomagnetic storms which fuel auroras on Earth. Such a storm and disconnection was observed earlier this year in the tail of Comet Encke: full story.

Got a telescope? Monitoring is encouraged: sky map, ephemeris.

DOES COMET HOLMES HAVE A SATELLITE? Comet Holmes has erupted twice before, in Nov. 1892 and Jan. 1893. In 1984, great astronomer Fred Whipple proposed an explanation:

"An analysis of observations of comet P/Holmes 1892III's two 8-10 mag bursts indicates that these phenomena are consistent with the grazing encounter of a small satellite with the nucleus on November 4.6, 1892, and the final encounter on January 16.3, 1893. While after the first burst the total magnitude fell less than 2 mag from November 7 to 30, the fading was much more rapid after the second burst. It is suggested that the grazing encounter distributed a volume of large chunks in the neighborhood of the nucleus, maintaining activity for weeks." Source: Icarus (ISSN 0019-1035), vol. 60, Dec. 1984, p. 522-531.

Whipple's idea might be updated circa 2007 to include a swarm of orbiting debris produced by, say, a previous collision. From time to time a debris-fragment might hit the comet's nucleus causing a new outburst. It's possible: Asteroids have satellites, so why not comets? Furthermore, fragments going around a comet's irregular nucleus would have unstable orbits; from time to time they would naturally crash into the comet or fly off into space.

Warning: This is all pure speculation. No one knows why Comet Holmes keeps exploding. Perhaps the modern array of telescopes trained on Comet Holmes in 2007 will solve the mystery--but not yet. For now, we can only watch and wonder: sky map.

3D BONUS: Grab your 3D glasses. Graphic artist Patrick Vantuyne has combined two photos of Comet Holmes, one taken by Jack Newton in Arizona and one by Ivan Eder in Hungary, to create an eye-popping stereo portrait: stereo image. "The stereo effect has nothing to do with the different locations of the photographers," he notes. "It is a result of the movement of the comet among between the two pictures."

Comet 17P/Holmes Photo Gallery
[Interactive World Map of Comet Photos]
[sky map] [ephemeris] [3D orbit] [Night Sky Cameras]

Near-Earth Asteroids
Potentially Hazardous Asteroids (PHAs) are space rocks larger than approximately 100m that can come closer to Earth than 0.05 AU. None of the known PHAs is on a collision course with our planet, although astronomers are finding new ones all the time.
On November 11, 2007 there were 901 potentially hazardous asteroids.
Nov. 2007 Earth-asteroid encounters:
Asteroid
Date(UT)
Miss Distance
Mag.
Size
2005 GL
Nov. 8
8.0 LD
16
280 m
2007 VA3
Nov. 11
7.0 LD
19
30 m
2007 UL12
Nov. 12
18.4 LD
17
325 m
1989 UR
Nov. 24
27.6 LD
15
880 m
Notes: LD means "Lunar Distance." 1 LD = 384,401 km, the distance between Earth and the Moon. 1 LD also equals 0.00256 AU. MAG is the visual magnitude of the asteroid on the date of closest approach.
Essential Links
NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center
  The official U.S. government bureau for real-time monitoring of solar and geophysical events, research in solar-terrestrial physics, and forecasting solar and geophysical disturbances.
Atmospheric Optics
  The first place to look for information about sundogs, pillars, rainbows and related phenomena.
Solar and Heliospheric Observatory
  Realtime and archival images of the Sun from SOHO.
Daily Sunspot Summaries
  From the NOAA Space Environment Center
Current Solar Images
  from the National Solar Data Analysis Center
  more links...
©2007, SpaceWeather.com -- This site is penned daily by Dr. Tony Phillips.
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