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SpaceWeather.com -- News and information about meteor showers, solar flares, auroras, and near-Earth asteroids
 
Solar wind
speed: 655.3 km/sec
density: 6.8 protons/cm3
more data: ACE, DSCOVR
Updated: Today at 0003 UT
X-ray Solar Flares
6-hr max: B1
2122 UT Mar01
24-hr: B2
0800 UT Mar01
explanation | more data
Updated: Today at: 2359 UT
Daily Sun: 01 Mar 17
Suddenly, the region around sunspot AR2641 is crowded with dark cores. This rapidly changing sunspot could soon pose a threat for flares if its growth proceeds apace. Credit: SDO/HMI

Sunspot number: 39
What is the sunspot number?
Updated 01 Mar 2017

Spotless Days
Current Stretch: 0 days
2017 total: 11 days (19%)
2016 total: 32 days (9%)
2015 total: 0 days (0%)

2014 total: 1 day (<1%)
2013 total: 0 days (0%)
2012 total: 0 days (0%)
2011 total: 2 days (<1%)
2010 total: 51 days (14%)
2009 total: 260 days (71%)

Updated 01 Mar 2017


The Radio Sun
10.7 cm flux: 82 sfu
explanation | more data
Updated 01 Mar 2017

Current Auroral Oval:
Switch to: Europe, USA, New Zealand, Antarctica
Credit: NOAA/Ovation
Planetary K-index
Now: Kp= 5 storm
24-hr max: Kp= 5
storm
explanation | more data
Interplanetary Mag. Field
Btotal: 5.4 nT
Bz: -1.7 nT south
more data: ACE, DSCOVR
Updated: Today at 0002 UT
Coronal Holes: 01 Mar 17

Earth is inside a stream of solar wind flowing from the indicated coronal hole. Credit: NASA/SDO.
Noctilucent Clouds The southern season for noctilucent clouds began on Nov. 17, 2016. Come back to this spot every day to see the "daily daisy" from NASA's AIM spacecraft, which is monitoring the dance of electric-blue around the Antarctic Circle.
Switch view: Ross Ice Shelf, Antarctic Peninsula, East Antarctica, Polar
Updated at: 02-24-2017 17:55:02
SPACE WEATHER
NOAA Forecasts
Updated at: 2017 Mar 01 2200 UTC
FLARE
0-24 hr
24-48 hr
CLASS M
01 %
01 %
CLASS X
01 %
01 %
Geomagnetic Storms:
Probabilities for significant disturbances in Earth's magnetic field are given for three activity levels: active, minor storm, severe storm
Updated at: 2017 Mar 01 2200 UTC
Mid-latitudes
0-24 hr
24-48 hr
ACTIVE
35 %
30 %
MINOR
25 %
10 %
SEVERE
05 %
01 %
High latitudes
0-24 hr
24-48 hr
ACTIVE
10 %
15 %
MINOR
20 %
30 %
SEVERE
60 %
40 %
 
Wednesday, Mar. 1, 2017
What's up in space
       
 

Directly under the Arctic Circle! Marianne's Arctic Xpress in Tromsø offers fjord, whale and wildlife tours by day, aurora tours by night. Book Now for out of this world day and night adventures.

 

GEOMAGNETIC STORM: A polar geomagnetic storm is in progress as Earth enters a fast-moving stream of solar wind.  This is sparking bright auroras around the Arctic Circle. The solar wind is flowing from a large canyon-shaped hole in the sun's atmosphere and is expected to influence Earth for the next two days. Free: Aurora alerts.

First contact with the stream on March 1st caused an outburst of green and purple lights above Alaska. Ayumi Bakken was in the countryside near Fairbanks on March 1st when he took this picture:

"What an amazing show tonight," says Bakken. "Just after a winter storm passed, the magnetic storm began and Lady Aurora danced overhead."

Earth is moving deeper into the stream, and wind speeds could top 700 km/s before the day is over.  Arctic sky watchers should remain alert for auroras on Mar. 1-2 as  NOAA forecasters estimate a 60% chance of continued polar geomagnetic storms.

Realtime Aurora Photo Gallery

A NEW KIND OF SPACE WEATHER BALLOON: The students of Earth to Sky Maritime (a franchise of Earth to Sky Calculus) have built a space weather balloon payload that does something new: it floats! On Feb. 14th they launched the pipe-shaped payload from Calistoga, California. After a 2.5 hour trip to the stratosphere, the floating cylinder parachuted back to Earth and splashed down in the San Pablo Bay northeast of San Francisco.

A team of student mariners recovered the payload from the deck of the Cub, a tug boat operated by Cal Maritime. Not everything went perfectly. The payload's camera popped off at the moment of landing and sank to the bottom of the Bay--so no images from the stratosphere. Otherwise, the launch, tracking and recovery were a big success.

This development will allow us to start launching space weather balloons from places on Earth where the possibility of a water landing previously forbid such missions. The students of Earth to Sky Maritime already have one such place in mind: from South Carolina during the August 21, 2017, total solar eclipse. They plan to photograph the eclipse from the stratosphere over Charleston and recover the payload later from the Atlantic after the Moon's shadow passes by.

Realtime Solar Eclipse Photo Gallery

ARCTIC SPACE REINDEER: The students of Earth to Sky Calculus are about to travel inside the Arctic Circle (Abisko, Sweden) for their first polar space weather balloon launch. To raise money for the trip, on Feb. 23rd they flew a payload-full of Arctic reindeer pendants to the edge of space:

You can have one for $129.95. Each glittering pendant comes with a greeting card showing the jewelry in flight and certifying that it has been to the stratosphere and back again. These pendants make great Birthday and Mother's Day gifts.

Bonus: Would you like your pendant to be flown over the Arctic as well? Make a note to that effect in the COMMENTS box at checkout, and we will take your pendent to Sweden for a second trip to the stratosphere.

Realtime Space Weather Photo Gallery


Realtime Comet Photo Gallery



  All Sky Fireball Network
Every night, a network of NASA all-sky cameras scans the skies above the United States for meteoritic fireballs. Automated software maintained by NASA's Meteoroid Environment Office calculates their orbits, velocity, penetration depth in Earth's atmosphere and many other characteristics. Daily results are presented here on Spaceweather.com.

On Mar. 1, 2017, the network reported 6 fireballs.
(6 sporadics)

In this diagram of the inner solar system, all of the fireball orbits intersect at a single point--Earth. The orbits are color-coded by velocity, from slow (red) to fast (blue). [Larger image] [movies]

  Near Earth Asteroids
Potentially Hazardous Asteroids (PHAs) are space rocks larger than approximately 100m that can come closer to Earth than 0.05 AU. None of the known PHAs is on a collision course with our planet, although astronomers are finding new ones all the time.
On March 1, 2017 there were potentially hazardous asteroids.
Recent & Upcoming Earth-asteroid encounters:
Asteroid
Date(UT)
Miss Distance
Size
2017 DV36
Feb 27
1 LD
12 m
2017 DA38
Feb 27
7.3 LD
45 m
2017 DS34
Feb 27
7.1 LD
31 m
2017 BM123
Feb 27
12.4 LD
79 m
2017 DS37
Feb 28
7.4 LD
15 m
2017 DJ16
Feb 28
4.1 LD
30 m
2012 DR32
Mar 2
4.7 LD
52 m
2017 DD38
Mar 7
14.9 LD
53 m
2017 DV35
Mar 8
9.6 LD
15 m
2017 DR35
Mar 9
11.8 LD
26 m
2017 DA36
Mar 10
4 LD
43 m
1998 SL36
Mar 16
8.3 LD
390 m
2015 TC25
Mar 26
7.6 LD
6 m
2017 DC38
Apr 6
14.7 LD
56 m
2003 BD44
Apr 18
21.7 LD
1.9 km
2014 JO25
Apr 19
4.6 LD
1.0 km
1999 CU3
Apr 19
63.7 LD
1.9 km
Notes: LD means "Lunar Distance." 1 LD = 384,401 km, the distance between Earth and the Moon. 1 LD also equals 0.00256 AU. MAG is the visual magnitude of the asteroid on the date of closest approach.
  Cosmic Rays in the Atmosphere

Readers, thank you for your patience while we continue to develop this new section of Spaceweather.com. We've been working to streamline our data reduction, allowing us to post results from balloon flights much more rapidly, and we have developed a new data product, shown here:

This plot displays radiation measurements not only in the stratosphere, but also at aviation altitudes. Dose rates are expessed as multiples of sea level. For instance, we see that boarding a plane that flies at 25,000 feet exposes passengers to dose rates ~10x higher than sea level. At 40,000 feet, the multiplier is closer to 50x. These measurements are made by our usual cosmic ray payload as it passes through aviation altitudes en route to the stratosphere over California.

What is this all about? Approximately once a week, Spaceweather.com and the students of Earth to Sky Calculus fly space weather balloons to the stratosphere over California. These balloons are equipped with radiation sensors that detect cosmic rays, a surprisingly "down to Earth" form of space weather. Cosmic rays can seed clouds, trigger lightning, and penetrate commercial airplanes. Furthermore, there are studies ( #1, #2, #3, #4) linking cosmic rays with cardiac arrhythmias and sudden cardiac death in the general population. Our latest measurements show that cosmic rays are intensifying, with an increase of more than 12% since 2015:


Why are cosmic rays intensifying? The main reason is the sun. Solar storm clouds such as coronal mass ejections (CMEs) sweep aside cosmic rays when they pass by Earth. During Solar Maximum, CMEs are abundant and cosmic rays are held at bay. Now, however, the solar cycle is swinging toward Solar Minimum, allowing cosmic rays to return. Another reason could be the weakening of Earth's magnetic field, which helps protect us from deep-space radiation.

The radiation sensors onboard our helium balloons detect X-rays and gamma-rays in the energy range 10 keV to 20 MeV. These energies span the range of medical X-ray machines and airport security scanners.

The data points in the graph above correspond to the peak of the Reneger-Pfotzer maximum, which lies about 67,000 feet above central California. When cosmic rays crash into Earth's atmosphere, they produce a spray of secondary particles that is most intense at the entrance to the stratosphere. Physicists Eric Reneger and Georg Pfotzer discovered the maximum using balloons in the 1930s and it is what we are measuring today.

  Essential web links
NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center
  The official U.S. government space weather bureau
Atmospheric Optics
  The first place to look for information about sundogs, pillars, rainbows and related phenomena.
Solar Dynamics Observatory
  Researchers call it a "Hubble for the sun." SDO is the most advanced solar observatory ever.
STEREO
  3D views of the sun from NASA's Solar and Terrestrial Relations Observatory
Solar and Heliospheric Observatory
  Realtime and archival images of the Sun from SOHO.
Daily Sunspot Summaries
  from the NOAA Space Environment Center
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NOAA 27-Day Space Weather Forecasts
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Aurora 30 min forecast
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